Mashal Mubarek vs Buxoro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0 penalties
05/12/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Relegation - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1017
Shots on target
37
Corner Kicks
38
Yellow Cards
11
Total shots
1017
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
710
Corner Kicks
38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 22', 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Murtazoev K. , Murodov A. ,
  • 46', Aliqulov M. , Akramov Z. ,
  • 62', Amonov A. , Tupliev B. ,
  • 62', Kolakovic M. , Ahmadjonov N. ,
  • 74', Umar A. , Nuriddinov N. ,
  • 74', Sharipov I. , Abduraymov S. ,
  • 78', Tukhtaboev D. , Khamroev U. ,
  • 81', Muzaffarov N. 🟨,
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)
  • Penalties (3 - 1)
  • 1, Tabatadze T. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 1, Abduraymov S. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Begic D. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Juraev S. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, (Penalty Awarded),

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Mashal Mubarek
26.8%
Draw
31%
Buxoro
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.2% 28.1% 36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4% 27.2% 35.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mashal Mubarek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mashal Mubarek's form might have worsened.
  • Buxoro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Buxoro's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mashal Mubarek than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mashal Mubarek, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buxoro than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Buxoro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Mashal Mubarek - Buxoro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.41
    (2.61)
    2.95
    (3.27)
    2.16
    (2.5)
    9.5%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Mashal Mubarek - Buxoro?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Mashal will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Buxoro will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Mashal (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mashal won 3.
    • In recent matches, Mashal has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Buxoro has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Mashal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Mashal won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:9. (average 1.3:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mashal won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 0.5:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mashal Mubarek - Buxoro were as follows:
    30.09.2025 Mashal Mubarek - Buxoro 0:0
    03.05.2025 Buxoro - Mashal Mubarek 1:2
    05.11.2024 Mashal Mubarek - Buxoro 0:1
    12.09.2024 Buxoro - Mashal Mubarek 0:2
    13.06.2024 Mashal Mubarek - Buxoro 1:0
    Latest results of Mashal Mubarek
    Latest results of Buxoro
    30.11.2025 Buxoro - Surkhon Termez 0:1
    19.11.2025 Shurtan Guzar - Buxoro 1:1
    07.11.2025 Buxoro - Neftchi Fargona 1:1
    01.11.2025 Andijan - Buxoro 1:1
    29.10.2025 Pakhtakor - Buxoro 1:0
    Uzbek League Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Andijan11004:043
    2Neftchi Fargona11003:033
    3Lok. Tashkent11003:123
    4Pakhtakor11002:023
    5Navbahor Namangan11002:113
    6Bunyodkor11001:013
    7Buxoro11001:013
    8Nasaf Qarshi11001:013
    9Din. Samarkand10011:2-10
    10OKMK10010:1-10
    11Xorazm Urganch10010:1-10
    12Kokand 191210010:1-10
    13Termez Surkhon10011:3-20
    14Qizilqum10010:2-20
    15Mashal Muborak10010:3-30
    16Sogdiana10010:4-40

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