Result
1:2
23/11/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- LaLiga2 - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ecuador | DSports 6 |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 South-america | DGO Latin America |
 Spain | DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, Movistar Plus+ |
 Uruguay | DSports 6 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 1.35 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (317/388) | 81% (329/407) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 1.35 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.63 | 2.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (317/388) | 81% (329/407) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (18/40) | 45% (30/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (95/130) | 68% (69/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (6/46) | 22% (2/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 1.02 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.07 | 2.63 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.07 | 1.63 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 12', 1 - 0, Ugiagbe E. ⚽,
- 21', 1 - 1, Barzic M. ⚽, Mboula J. (A),
- 28', Ojeda T. 🟨,
- 37', 1 - 2, Justo M. ⚽, Ribeiro L. (A),
- 38', Tabatadze I. ↓, Ocampo B. ↑,
- 38', Diarra Y. ↓, Diakite M. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Ugiagbe E. ↓, Marti R. ↑,
- 51', Suso (Pen),
- 56', Ortega I. 🟨,
- 61', Ribeiro L. ↓, Gonzalez Y. ↑,
- 61', Mboula J. ↓, Tresaco R. ↑,
- 69', Pascual A. ↓, Camara D. ↑,
- 77', Ortuno S. ↓, Ontiveros J. ↑,
- 81', Calero I. ↓, Garcia V. ↑,
- 81', Justo M. ↓, Collado D. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/4c3ncv3n
Chances of winning
Cádiz
46.8% | Draw
29.9% | Leonesa
23.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cádiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cádiz's form might have worsened.Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leonesa's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cádiz than the current prediction. (+9.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cádiz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leonesa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Cádiz - Leonesa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.01 ↑
(1.57) |
3.23 ↓
(3.68) |
4.17 ↓
(5.15) |
4.8%
(10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cádiz - Leonesa?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Cádiz will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Leonesa will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cádiz: 35.4% – 82.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Leonesa (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Leonesa (1.40) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -0.5 - Leonesa (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Leonesa (votes: 6 - 75%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 8 and 15).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Cádiz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Cádiz has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Cádiz is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Cádiz: Carcelen I.
(Muscle Injury)
Fali
(Knee Injury)
Ontiveros J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Leonesa: Satrustegui E.
(Knee Injury)
Sobrino R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Leonesa: Bicho
(Inactive)
Pibe
(Inactive)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cádiz won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Cádiz won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Cádiz won against Leonesa?
Cádiz has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Leonesa won against Cádiz?
Leonesa has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cádiz - Leonesa were as follows:
Latest results of Leonesa
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 31 | 18 | 5 | 8 | 62:44 | 18 | 59 |
| 2 | Dep. La Coruna | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 48:35 | 13 | 55 |
| 3 | Almeria | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 59:43 | 16 | 55 |
| 4 | Malaga | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 52:37 | 15 | 54 |
| 5 | Las Palmas | 31 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 40:24 | 16 | 51 |
| 6 | Castellon | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 50:38 | 12 | 50 |
| 7 | Burgos CF | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 36:26 | 10 | 50 |
| 8 | Eibar | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 33:30 | 3 | 45 |
| 9 | Gijon | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 42:39 | 3 | 45 |
| 10 | Ceuta | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 39:50 | -11 | 44 |
| 11 | Albacete | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 39:40 | -1 | 42 |
| 12 | Cordoba | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 41:47 | -6 | 41 |
| 13 | Real Sociedad B | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 44:43 | 1 | 40 |
| 14 | Granada CF | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 37:34 | 3 | 39 |
| 15 | Andorra | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 37:42 | -5 | 39 |
| 16 | Cadiz CF | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 31:39 | -8 | 38 |
| 17 | Leganes | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 36:34 | 2 | 37 |
| 18 | Valladolid | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 36:45 | -9 | 36 |
| 19 | Huesca | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 30:45 | -15 | 31 |
| 20 | Zaragoza | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27:43 | -16 | 30 |
| 21 | Cultural Leonesa | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 29:50 | -21 | 28 |
| 22 | Mirandes | 31 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 30:50 | -20 | 27 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
