Cádiz vs Leonesa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
23/11/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • LaLiga2 - Round 15
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ecuadorEcuadorDSports 6
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
south-americaSouth-americaDGO Latin America
spainSpainDAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, Movistar Plus+
uruguayUruguayDSports 6

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.671.35
Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1614
Shots on target
77
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
116
Passes
82% (317/388)81% (329/407)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.671.35
xG on target (xGOT)
2.632.07
Total shots
1614
Shots on target
77
Shots off target
84
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
69
Shots outside the Box
105
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
116
Touches in opposition box
2116
Accurate through passes
12
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1211
Passes
82% (317/388)81% (329/407)
Long passes
45% (18/40)45% (30/67)
Passes in final third
73% (95/130)68% (69/101)
Crosses
13% (6/46)22% (2/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.161.02
Throw-ins
2111
Fouls
1112
Tackles
73% (8/11)79% (11/14)
Duels won
3344
Clearances
1439
Interceptions
67
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
57
xGOT faced
2.072.63
Goals prevented
0.071.63

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 12', 1 - 0, Ugiagbe E. ,
  • 21', 1 - 1, Barzic M. , Mboula J. (A),
  • 28', Ojeda T. 🟨,
  • 37', 1 - 2, Justo M. , Ribeiro L. (A),
  • 38', Tabatadze I. , Ocampo B. ,
  • 38', Diarra Y. , Diakite M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Ugiagbe E. , Marti R. ,
  • 51', Suso (Pen),
  • 56', Ortega I. 🟨,
  • 61', Ribeiro L. , Gonzalez Y. ,
  • 61', Mboula J. , Tresaco R. ,
  • 69', Pascual A. , Camara D. ,
  • 77', Ortuno S. , Ontiveros J. ,
  • 81', Calero I. , Garcia V. ,
  • 81', Justo M. , Collado D. ,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/4c3ncv3n

Chances of winning


Cádiz
46.8%
Draw
29.9%
Leonesa
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.8% 24.6% 17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9% 23.8% 18.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cádiz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cádiz's form might have worsened.
  • Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leonesa's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cádiz than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cádiz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leonesa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Cádiz - Leonesa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.01
    (1.57)
    3.23
    (3.68)
    4.17
    (5.15)
    4.8%
    (10.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Cádiz - Leonesa?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Cádiz will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Leonesa will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 23.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Cádiz: 35.4%82.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Leonesa (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Leonesa (1.40) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.5 - Leonesa (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Leonesa (votes: 6 - 75%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 8 and 15).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Cádiz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Cádiz has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Cádiz is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Cádiz: Carcelen I. (Muscle Injury) Fali (Knee Injury) Ontiveros J. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Leonesa: Satrustegui E. (Knee Injury) Sobrino R. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Leonesa: Bicho (Inactive) Pibe (Inactive)
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Cádiz won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Cádiz won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
    Latest results of Cádiz
    16.11.2025 Almería - Cádiz 3:0
    09.11.2025 Cádiz - Valladolid 0:0
    02.11.2025 FC Andorra - Cádiz 0:0
    28.10.2025 UCAM Murcia - Cádiz 1:3
    25.10.2025 Granada - Cádiz 0:0
    Latest results of Leonesa
    17.11.2025 Leonesa - Málaga 1:0
    01.11.2025 Leonesa - Mirandés 3:2
    28.10.2025 Tropezón - Leonesa 1:3
    25.10.2025 Leonesa - Ceuta 0:1
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Santander28165756:362053
    2Castellon28147746:291749
    3Almeria28147753:401349
    4Dep. La Coruna28147744:311349
    5Malaga28145941:311047
    6Las Palmas281112534:221245
    7Ceuta281351036:39-344
    8Burgos CF28127930:26443
    9Gijon281261038:36242
    10Cordoba28118938:37141
    11Eibar281081031:30138
    12Andorra28981135:40-535
    13Albacete28981133:39-635
    14Cadiz CF28981129:35-635
    15Leganes288101029:28134
    16Real Sociedad B28971238:39-134
    17Granada CF287111032:33-132
    18Valladolid28881229:38-932
    19Huesca28861426:37-1130
    20Cultural Leonesa28761527:44-1727
    21Mirandes28661628:45-1724
    22Zaragoza28591423:41-1824

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