Result
2:1
17/01/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 19
- Referee: Gaillouste P. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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|---|
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.77 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
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| 21 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (239/305) | 85% (410/485) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 64% (59/92) | 70% (57/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 23% (3/13) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 40% (2/5) | 44% (8/18) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 16', Rajot L. 🟨,
- 26', Jacob V. ↓, Kante A. ↑,
- 40', Anziani J. 🟨,
- 42', Bamba A. 🟨,
- 42', Traore B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Rajot L. ↓, Le Bihan M. ↑,
- 61', Ibayi C. ↓, Santelli B. ↑,
- 61', Soumano M. ↓, Chegra I. ↑,
- 62', 0 - 1, Mendy A. ⚽, Najim I. (A),
- 70', 1 - 1, Bamba A. ⚽,
- 72', Najim I. ↓, Gomis T. ↑,
- 79', Kyeremeh G. ↓, Milliner L. ↑,
- 80', Barreto M. ↓, Puch-Herrantz M. ↑,
- 84', 2 - 1, Kante A. ⚽,
- 87', Lecoeuche Q. ↓, Bolumbu D. ↑,
- 90+3', Santelli B. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ajaccio
38.8% | Draw
31.1% | Caen
30.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ajaccio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ajaccio's performance.Caen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Caen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ajaccio that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caen than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Caen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ajaccio - Caen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.4 ↓
(2.87) |
3 ↓
(3.08) |
3.1 ↑
(2.53) |
7.3%
(6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Ajaccio - Caen?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Ajaccio will win (votes: 13 - 68.4%). Caen will win (votes: 1 - 5.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 26.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ajaccio: 47.5% – 89.3%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 16 in the zone Ligue 2 (Relegation)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 1.
- Two teams has got a chain of failures in the last matches.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- There will not play in Ajaccio: Junior Pereira da Silva E.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Caen: M'Vila Y.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Ajaccio: Campanini T.
(Injury)
Mangani T.
(Injury)
Toure B.
(Injury)
Touzghar Y.
(Injury)
Vidal C.
(Injury)
Youssouf M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Caen: Traore B.
(Muscle Injury)
- Last 12 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 7:14 (average 0.6:1.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Ajaccio won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:5 (average 1.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Ajaccio won against Caen?
Ajaccio has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Caen won against Ajaccio?
Caen has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ajaccio - Caen were as follows:
20.09.2024
Caen
-
Ajaccio
1:0
20.04.2024
Ajaccio
-
Caen
2:1
26.08.2023
Caen
-
Ajaccio
3:0
Latest results of Ajaccio
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | St Etienne | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Nancy | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 7 |
| 3 | Troyes | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
| 4 | Clermont | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 5 |
| 5 | Red Star | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 4 |
| 6 | Montpellier | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Reims | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Pau FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Amiens | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Le Mans | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Annecy | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | Laval | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Dunkerque | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5:7 | -2 | 2 |
| 14 | Rodez | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:5 | -4 | 2 |
| 15 | Bastia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 | Grenoble | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 |
| 17 | Guingamp | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:8 | -5 | 1 |
| 18 | Boulogne | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
