Abergavenny Town vs Caerau Ely – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Welsh Cymru South Abergavenny Town - Caerau Ely
Result
1:3
20/04/2024 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WALES: Cymru South - Round 30

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 36', 0 - 1, Ashford J. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 78', 0 - 2, Ingram D. ,
  • 80', 1 - 2, Schwank R. ,
  • 89', 1 - 3, McNamara C. ,

Chances of winning


Abergavenny Town
13.6%
Draw
20.4%
Caerau Ely
66%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.4% 20.1% 67%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for Abergavenny Town have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • The chances for Caerau Ely have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Abergavenny Town than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caerau Ely than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Abergavenny Town - Caerau Ely Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.6
    (6.6)
    4.4
    (4.4)
    1.36
    (1.36)
    11.4%
    (11.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 6).
    • Abergavenny Town is Relegated to
    • Abergavenny Town has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Caerau is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Caerau could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Abergavenny Town have a series of guest games.
    • In this match Caerau is the unquestionable favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Caerau to win the game is with odds 1.36.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Abergavenny Town won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Abergavenny Town - Caerau Ely were as follows:
    29.07.2023 Caerau Ely - Abergavenny Town 4:0
    Latest results of Abergavenny Town
    Latest results of Caerau Ely
    Welsh Cymru South Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Carmarthen Town11004:043
    2Cambrian United11004:043
    3Caerau Ely11004:133
    4Baglan Dragons11003:033
    5Aberystwyth11002:113
    6Trefelin11002:113
    7Ammanford11001:013
    8Newport City11001:013
    9Llantwit Major10011:2-10
    10Trethomas Bluebirds10011:2-10
    11Afan Lido10010:1-10
    12Cardiff Draconians10010:1-10
    13Ynyshir Albions10011:4-30
    14Pontypridd10010:3-30
    15Cwmbran Celtic10010:4-40
    16Treowen10010:4-40

          Promotion ~ Cymru Premier
          Relegation