Result
0:4
01/03/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 8', 0 - 1, Redhead O. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 59', 0 - 2, Bishop L. ⚽,
- 66', 0 - 3, Bishop L. ⚽,
- 71', 0 - 4, Parker T. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Aberystwyth Town 37% | Draw 27.4% | Caerau Ely 35.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aberystwyth Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)Caerau Ely has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aberystwyth Town than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caerau Ely than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Aberystwyth Town - Caerau Ely Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.45 ↑ (2.29) |
3.31 ↓ (3.49) |
2.55 ↓ (2.58) |
10.2% (11.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 and 5).
- Aberystwyth is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Caerau's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Caerau may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Aberystwyth won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Aberystwyth Town won against Caerau Ely?
Aberystwyth Town has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Caerau Ely won against Aberystwyth Town?
Caerau Ely has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aberystwyth Town - Caerau Ely were as follows:
20.12.2025
Caerau Ely
-
Aberystwyth Town
1:0
Latest results of Aberystwyth Town
Latest results of Caerau Ely
Welsh Cymru South Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Trefelin ✔ | 29 | 24 | 3 | 2 | 78:17 | 61 | 75 |
| 2 | Cambrian United ✔ | 29 | 23 | 4 | 2 | 72:19 | 53 | 73 |
| 3 | Ammanford | 29 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 47:25 | 22 | 57 |
| 4 | Caerau Ely | 29 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 66:34 | 32 | 56 |
| 5 | Carmarthen Town | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 44:34 | 10 | 45 |
| 6 | Aberystwyth | 29 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 35:38 | -3 | 43 |
| 7 | Cardiff Draconians | 29 | 11 | 4 | 14 | 46:47 | -1 | 37 |
| 8 | Llantwit Major | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 43:44 | -1 | 37 |
| 9 | Newport City | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 36:43 | -7 | 37 |
| 10 | Treowen | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 47:62 | -15 | 34 |
| 11 | Pontypridd | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 46:51 | -5 | 33 |
| 12 | Afan Lido | 29 | 9 | 3 | 17 | 31:53 | -22 | 30 |
| 13 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 44:61 | -17 | 28 |
| 14 | Baglan Dragons | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 25:51 | -26 | 24 |
| 15 | Ynyshir Albions | 29 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 27:56 | -29 | 22 |
| 16 | Cwmbran Celtic | 29 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 24:76 | -52 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Cymru Premier
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Trefelin is Qualified for Cymru Premier
Cambrian United is Qualified for Cymru Premier