Result
1:3
15/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Campionato Sammarinese - Round 25
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 World | FIFA+ |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 3', 0 - 1, Abouzziane S. ⚽, Evaristi M. (A),
- 31', 0 - 2, Mariano M. ⚽, Abouzziane S. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 72', 1 - 2, Bua A. ⚽,
- 79', 1 - 3, Costantini M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Cailungo
24.9% | Draw
27.8% | Fiorentino
47.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cailungo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Fiorentino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cailungo than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiorentino than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Cailungo - Fiorentino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.63 ↓
(3.65) |
3.25 ↓
(3.38) |
1.91 ↓
(1.93) |
10.7%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cailungo won 1.
- Cailungo is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Fiorentino has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Cailungo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Fiorentino could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Cailungo won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:18. (average 0.6:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cailungo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Cailungo won against Fiorentino?
Cailungo has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fiorentino won against Cailungo?
Fiorentino has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cailungo - Fiorentino were as follows:
23.11.2025
Fiorentino
-
Cailungo
1:0
09.11.2024
Fiorentino
-
Cailungo
1:0
24.01.2024
Cailungo
-
Fiorentino
0:3
23.09.2023
Fiorentino
-
Cailungo
0:1
16.04.2023
Fiorentino
-
Cailungo
6:0
Latest results of Cailungo
Latest results of Fiorentino
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tre Fiori | 26 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 55:12 | 43 | 63 |
| 2 | Virtus | 26 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 56:17 | 39 | 62 |
| 3 | Tre Penne | 26 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 57:15 | 42 | 60 |
| 4 | Folgore | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 55:28 | 27 | 49 |
| 5 | La Fiorita | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 55:22 | 33 | 47 |
| 6 | Domagnano | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 52:28 | 24 | 42 |
| 7 | Fiorentino | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 28:37 | -9 | 40 |
| 8 | Cosmos | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 27:19 | 8 | 38 |
| 9 | Juvenes/Dogana | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 29:33 | -4 | 32 |
| 10 | Libertas | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 30:48 | -18 | 32 |
| 11 | San Giovanni | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 23:34 | -11 | 28 |
| 12 | Pennarossa | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 25:51 | -26 | 24 |
| 13 | Faetano | 26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 20:50 | -30 | 19 |
| 14 | San Marino Academy U22 | 26 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22:52 | -30 | 15 |
| 15 | Cailungo | 26 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 19:56 | -37 | 10 |
| 16 | Murata | 26 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 16:67 | -51 | -2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
