Cairns Marlins vs Townsville Heat – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball Australian NBL1 North Cairns Marlins - Townsville Heat
Result
138:108
26/07/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NBL1 North

Chances of winning


Cairns Marlins
47.7%
Townsville Heat
52.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.7% 60.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42% 58%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cairns Marlins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cairns Marlins's performance.
  • Townsville Heat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Townsville Heat might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cairns Marlins than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cairns Marlins that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Townsville Heat than the current prediction. (+5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Townsville Heat could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Cairns Marlins - Townsville Heat Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.01
    (2.29)

    1.84
    (1.51)
    4.3%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 181.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)
  • What is the prediction for Cairns Marlins - Townsville Heat?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Townsville (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 89:93.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cairns won 2.
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • Townsville may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Townsville is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Cairns won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1005:944. (average 91.4:85.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cairns won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 413:339. (average 103.3:84.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cairns Marlins - Townsville Heat were as follows:
    03.05.2025 Townsville Heat - Cairns Marlins 111:84
    18.05.2024 Cairns Marlins - Townsville Heat 99:96
    27.04.2024 Townsville Heat - Cairns Marlins 89:66
    24.06.2023 Cairns Marlins - Townsville Heat 110:93
    25.03.2023 Townsville Heat - Cairns Marlins 99:70
    Latest results of Cairns Marlins
    Latest results of Townsville Heat
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Brisbane Capitals (2)Bye
    2Sunshine Coast Phoenix (3)Rockhampton Rockets (6)117 : 86
    3Gold Coast Rollers (1)Bye
    4Southern District (4)Mackay Meteors (5)108 : 96

    Semi-finals
    1Brisbane Capitals (2)Sunshine Coast Phoenix (3)81 : 74
    2Gold Coast Rollers (1)Southern District (4)81 : 85

    Final
    1Brisbane Capitals (2)Southern District (4)