Illawarra Hawks vs Cairns Taipans – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
96:78
03/01/2026 at 01:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NBL - Round 15
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaESPN, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
7562
Field Goals Made
3824
Field Goals %
50.67%38.71%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
4632
2-Point Field Goals Made
2915
2-Point Field Goals %
63.04%46.88%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
2930
3-Point Field Goals Made
99
3-Point Field Goals %
31.03%30%
Free Throws Attempted
1826
Free Throws Made
1123
Free Throws %
61.1%88.5%
Offensive Rebounds
117
Defensive Rebounds
3531
Total Rebounds
4638
Assists
2014
Blocks
32
Turnovers
514
Steals
83
Personal Fouls
2119

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Illawarra Hawks
72.9%
Cairns Taipans
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.7% 30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.4% 32.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Illawarra Hawks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • Cairns Taipans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Illawarra Hawks than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Illawarra Hawks that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cairns Taipans than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cairns Taipans could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Illawarra Hawks - Cairns Taipans Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.29
    (1.34)

    3.48
    (3.08)
    6.3%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 182.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)
    Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 8 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Illawarra won 2.
    • Illawarra has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Taipans is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Illawarra is the team to beat.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Illawarra won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1820:1717. (average 91:85.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Illawarra won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 895:859. (average 89.5:85.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Illawarra Hawks - Cairns Taipans were as follows:
    06.12.2025 Illawarra Hawks - Cairns Taipans 76:93
    07.11.2025 Cairns Taipans - Illawarra Hawks 90:107
    23.01.2025 Cairns Taipans - Illawarra Hawks 100:94
    03.01.2025 Illawarra Hawks - Cairns Taipans 105:108
    19.10.2024 Cairns Taipans - Illawarra Hawks 75:87
    Latest results of Illawarra Hawks
    Latest results of Cairns Taipans
    Draw
    Ignite Cup

    Final
    1AdelaideNew Zealand Breakers107 : 111