New Zealand Breakers vs Cairns Taipans – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
115:84
19/02/2026 at 01:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NBL - Round 22
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaESPN, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
8668
Field goals made
4928
Field goals %
56.98%41.18%
2-point field goals attempts
6836
2-point field goals made
4120
2-point field goals %
60.29%55.56%
3-point field goals attempts
1832
3-point field goals made
88
3-point field goals %
44.44%25%
Free throws attempts
1621
Free throws made
920
Free throws %
56.3%95.2%
Offensive rebounds
179
Defensive rebounds
3127
Total rebounds
4836
Assists
2716
Blocks
32
Turnovers
510
Steals
62
Personal fouls
1514

Highlights

Chances of winning


New Zealand Breakers
66.2%
Cairns Taipans
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.2% 48.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5% 47.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New Zealand Breakers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in New Zealand Breakers's performance.
  • Cairns Taipans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cairns Taipans might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Zealand Breakers than the current prediction. (-13.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with New Zealand Breakers that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cairns Taipans than the current prediction. (+13.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cairns Taipans could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • New Zealand Breakers - Cairns Taipans Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.43
    (1.78)

    2.79
    (1.87)
    6%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 187.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
    What is the prediction for New Zealand Breakers - Cairns Taipans?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. NZ Breakers will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Taipans will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. NZ Breakers (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 97:91.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NZ Breakers won 4.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NZ Breakers won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1744:1623. (average 87.2:81.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, NZ Breakers won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 860:821. (average 86:82.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New Zealand Breakers - Cairns Taipans were as follows:
    17.01.2026 Cairns Taipans - New Zealand Breakers 86:104
    19.12.2025 Cairns Taipans - New Zealand Breakers 99:95
    22.11.2025 Cairns Taipans - New Zealand Breakers 96:102
    31.08.2025 New Zealand Breakers - Cairns Taipans 94:75
    01.02.2025 New Zealand Breakers - Cairns Taipans 99:92
    Latest results of Cairns Taipans
    Draw
    Ignite Cup

    Final
    1AdelaideNew Zealand Breakers107 : 111