ADA Jaén vs Cajamarca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Peruvian Liga 2 ADA Jaén - Cajamarca
Result
1:0
07/06/2025 at 16:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 2 - Round 10

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Rodriguez F. ,
  • 26', Campos A. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Valencia J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 58', Estrada A. , Ocas F. ,
  • 60', Campos A. , Basan L. ,
  • 63', 🟨,
  • 65', Guzman C. , Huaman A. ,
  • 66', 🟨,
  • 69', Rodriguez A. , Matzuda M. ,
  • 70', Iglesias M. , Casquete A. ,
  • 70', Guadalupe Q. , Vega J. C. ,
  • 80', 🟨,
  • 81', 🟨,
  • 90', 🟨,

Chances of winning


ADA Jaén
48.9%
Draw
25.5%
Cajamarca
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.7% 29% 34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6% 31.3% 31.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • ADA Jaén has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in ADA Jaén's performance.
  • Cajamarca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cajamarca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for ADA Jaén than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ADA Jaén that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cajamarca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • ADA Jaén - Cajamarca Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.86
    (2.45)
    3.57
    (3.11)
    3.55
    (2.63)
    10%
    (11.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for ADA Jaén - Cajamarca?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. ADA (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: ADA Jaén will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • ADA has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Cajamarca is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Cajamarca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • ADA might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, ADA won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between ADA Jaén - Cajamarca were as follows:
    17.04.2025 Cajamarca - ADA Jaén 4:1
    Latest results of ADA Jaén
    Latest results of Cajamarca
    Peruvian Liga 2 Table
    Promotion Group

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tacna Heroica21104:314
    2Moquegua10102:201
    3Cesar Vallejo10100:001
    4FC Cajamarca20111:2-11
    5Carlos Mannucci00000:000


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union Comercio22004:046
    2ADA Jaen20201:102
    3San Marcos10100:001
    4Comerciantes20111:3-21
    5Santos10010:2-20

          Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)