Result
3:1
16/09/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.90 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (207/273) | 84% (401/480) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.90 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 0.39 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (207/273) | 84% (401/480) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (28/72) | 55% (35/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (45/85) | 63% (70/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (5/19) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.53 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 50% (3/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 32 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.39 | 1.83 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.61 | -1.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 3', 1 - 0, Dulanto G. ⚽, Bersano F. (A),
- 24', Quintero J. 🟨,
- 26', Alvarez L. 🟨,
- 36', Rojas J. 🟨,
- 39', Alvino J. ↓, Gutierrez A. ↑,
- 45+1', Melgarejo H. 🟨,
- 45+5', Ramirez E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Bazan N. ↓, Barreto G. ↑,
- 46', Alvarez L. ↓, Oncoy F. ↑,
- 53', Perez A. 🟨,
- 56', Dulanto G. 🟨,
- 62', 2 - 0, Rojas J. ⚽, Da Luz M. (A),
- 70', Ramirez E. ↓, Balanta G. ↑,
- 70', Vega J. ↓, De la Cruz L. ↑,
- 74', 3 - 0, Da Luz M. ⚽, Barreto G. (A),
- 83', Rojas J. ↓, Montenegro D. ↑,
- 83', Da Luz M. ↓, Rengifo H. ↑,
- 83', Serra P. ↓, Rugel L. ↑,
- 89', 3 - 1, Quintero J. ⚽, De la Cruz L. (A),
- 90+1', Cabello C. ↓, Pinto O. ↑,
Chances of winning
ADT Tarma
61.4% | Draw
22.8% | Cajamarca
15.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
ADT Tarma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Cajamarca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (-13.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ADT Tarma that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
ADT Tarma - Cajamarca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.55 ↑
(1.43) |
4.48 ↑
(4.2) |
6.96 ↑
(5.75) |
1.3%
(11.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for ADT Tarma - Cajamarca?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. ADT will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 18).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ADT won 2.
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- ADT may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, ADT is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Cajamarca: Aguirre J.
(Red Card)
Aparicio K.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in ADT: Cedron V.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, ADT won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 0.9:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, ADT won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.8:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has ADT Tarma won against Cajamarca?
ADT Tarma has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cajamarca won against ADT Tarma?
Cajamarca has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between ADT Tarma - Cajamarca were as follows:
20.04.2025
Cajamarca
-
ADT Tarma
0:1
20.08.2024
Cajamarca
-
ADT Tarma
1:1
16.03.2024
ADT Tarma
-
Cajamarca
2:1
28.08.2023
ADT Tarma
-
Cajamarca
0:0
08.04.2023
Cajamarca
-
ADT Tarma
1:0
Latest results of ADT Tarma
Latest results of Cajamarca
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 23:8 | 15 | 30 |
| 2 | Cusco | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19:11 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | AD Tarma | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20:8 | 12 | 19 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 18:13 | 5 | 18 |
| 6 | Alianza Lima | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16:16 | 0 | 18 |
| 8 | Alianza Atl | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11:8 | 3 | 16 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 16 |
| 10 | Sport Huancayo | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23:22 | 1 | 15 |
| 11 | Cienciano | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 15 |
| 12 | Grau | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 15 |
| 13 | Los Chankas | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 14:24 | -10 | 15 |
| 14 | Alianza Huanuco | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14:24 | -10 | 13 |
| 15 | Sport Boys | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
| 16 | Juan Pablo II | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
| 17 | Ayacucho | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 11 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9:16 | -7 | 6 |
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
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