Result
0:1
20/04/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 9
- Referee: Cori V. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Peru | L1 Max, Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.89 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (290/378) | 76% (260/343) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.89 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.73 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 12 |
| Through passes |
|---|
| 0% (0/1) | 100% (3/3) |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (290/378) | 76% (260/343) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (25/55) | 39% (26/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (73/116) | 56% (59/105) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (4/22) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.81 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 84% (21/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 53 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 17 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.73 | 0.86 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.38 | 0.86 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 6', Rosell Delgado J. A. 🟨,
- 22', Rugel L. 🟨,
- 30', Barreto G. 🟨,
- 31', Oncoy F. 🟨,
- 37', Cabello C. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 52', Villamarin R. ↓, Aguirre J. ↑,
- 67', Palacios B. ↓, Vasquez A. ↑,
- 67', Rugel L. ↓, Romero F. ↑,
- 72', Da Luz M. ↓, Rengifo H. ↑,
- 72', Robles A. ↓, Ascues C. ↑,
- 78', Romero F. 🟨,
- 81', Ramirez E. ↓, De la Cruz L. ↑,
- 81', Oncoy F. ↓, Verdun J. ↑,
- 83', Vidales J. ↓, Pinto O. ↑,
- 86', 0 - 1, Rengifo H. ⚽, Bersano F. (A),
- 90+2', Rojas J. ↓, Hidalgo A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cajamarca
32.4% | Draw
28.9% | ADT Tarma
38.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cajamarca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cajamarca's form might have worsened.ADT Tarma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cajamarca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for ADT Tarma, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Cajamarca - ADT Tarma Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.86 ↑
(2.48) |
3.22 ↓
(3.3) |
2.4 ↓
(2.78) |
7.6%
(6.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cajamarca - ADT Tarma?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. ADT will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cajamarca (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 13 and 8).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Cajamarca won 2.
- Recent matches Cajamarca is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- ADT is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Cajamarca could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- There will not play in Cajamarca: Aparicio K.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in ADT: Ascues C.
(Muscle Injury)
Desio G.
(Knee Injury)
Fernandez A.
(Injury)
Fuentes P.
(Injury)
Moyano A.
(Red Card)
Narvaez J.
(Red Card)
Perez A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in ADT: Montenegro D.
(Injury)
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Cajamarca won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:6 (average 1.3:0.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Cajamarca won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Cajamarca won against ADT Tarma?
Cajamarca has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has ADT Tarma won against Cajamarca?
ADT Tarma has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cajamarca - ADT Tarma were as follows:
20.08.2024
Cajamarca
-
ADT Tarma
1:1
16.03.2024
ADT Tarma
-
Cajamarca
2:1
28.08.2023
ADT Tarma
-
Cajamarca
0:0
08.04.2023
Cajamarca
-
ADT Tarma
1:0
08.01.2023
ADT Tarma
-
Cajamarca
0:2
Latest results of Cajamarca
Latest results of ADT Tarma
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Juan Pablo II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Cusco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | FBC Melgar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Grau | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | AD Tarma | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Alianza Atl | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Sport Huancayo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Ayacucho | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Cajamarca | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Cienciano | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Comerciantes Unidos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Alianza Lima | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Sport Boys | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | Alianza Huanuco | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 19 | Los Chankas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
