Result
 
                    0:0
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        12/07/2025 at  16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 19
 
                                                - Referee: Ortega K. (Per)
 
                                                - Where to Watch on TV: 
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
 |  | 
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz | 
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play | 
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com | 
                      
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
 |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.43 | 1.13 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 31% | 69% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 13 | 18 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 3 | 7 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 4 | 9 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 60% (124/205) | 85% (388/457) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 4 | 2 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.43 | 1.13 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 0.19 | 0.59 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 13 | 18 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 3 | 7 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 8 | 6 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 2 | 5 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 6 | 12 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 7 | 6 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 4 | 9 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 13 | 29 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 1 | 2 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 6 | 13 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 60% (124/205) | 85% (388/457) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 31% (19/61) | 56% (30/54) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 52% (48/93) | 73% (98/135) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 50% (8/16) | 32% (11/34) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.58 | 1.51 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 29 | 17 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 13 | 6 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 100% (9/9) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 41 | 42 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 44 | 28 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 8 | 5 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 7 | 3 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.19 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.19 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
 - 05:14,  (Pen), 
 - 14', Garro L. 🟨, 
 - 22', Castillo E. ↓, Ceppelini P. ↑, 
 - 45+1', Campos D. 🟨, 
 - 2nd Half (0 - 0)
 - 51', Aguirre J. 🟨, 
 - 64', Castillo J. ↓, Archimbaud J. ↑, 
 - 64', Cantero A. ↓, Paolo Guerrero ↑, 
 - 65', Rugel L. ↓, Lujan J. ↑, 
 - 72', Gaibor F. ↓, D'Arrigo J. ↑, 
 - 73', Vasquez A. 🟨, 
 - 74', Vasquez A. ↓, Villamarin R. ↑, 
 - 74', Ramirez E. ↓, De la Cruz L. ↑, 
 - 80', Cari P. ↓, Succar M. ↑, 
 - 81', Archimbaud J. 🟨, 
 - 90', Garro L. ↓, Balanta G. ↑, 
 - 90+5', Trauco M. 🟨, 
 - 90+8', Aguirre J. ↓, Cabanillas M. ↑, 
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Cajamarca  15.8% | Draw  24.3% | Alianza Lima  59.9% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Cajamarca - Alianza Lima Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   5.81 ↑ (5.25) | 
			   3.86 ↑ (3.6) | 
			   1.55 ↓ (1.62) | 
			   7.7% (8.6%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Cajamarca - Alianza Lima?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                    
                    Users Predictions: 
                    
                    
                    
                    Alianza Lima will win 
                    (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Alianza Lima will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 14 and 2).
 - In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cajamarca won 0.
 - Recent form of Cajamarca has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
 - Alianza Lima is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
 - Alianza Lima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
  - In this match, Alianza Lima is considered a favorite.
 - There will not play in Cajamarca: Aparicio K.
(Knee Injury)
 - There will not play in Alianza Lima: Archimbaud J.
(Injury)
 - There are questionable in Alianza Lima: Lavandeira Hernandez P.
(Tendon Injury)
 - In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cajamarca won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 12:20. (average 0.6:1).
 - Including home matches between the teams, Cajamarca won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.6:0.9).                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Cajamarca won against Alianza Lima?
                    
                    
                        
                            Cajamarca has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Lima won against Cajamarca?
                    
                    
                        
                             Alianza Lima has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Cajamarca - Alianza Lima were as follows:
                                                        
                                18.10.2024 
                                Cajamarca 
                                - 
                                Alianza Lima 
                                0:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                03.05.2024 
                                Alianza Lima 
                                - 
                                Cajamarca 
                                1:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                05.08.2023 
                                Alianza Lima 
                                - 
                                Cajamarca 
                                1:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                05.03.2023 
                                Cajamarca 
                                - 
                                Alianza Lima 
                                0:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                28.08.2022 
                                Cajamarca 
                                - 
                                Alianza Lima 
                                1:1
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Cajamarca                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Alianza Lima                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 15 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 28:10 | 18 | 39 | 
| 2 | Cusco | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24:14 | 10 | 30 | 
| 3 | Sporting Cristal | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25:11 | 14 | 25 | 
| 4 | Alianza Lima | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25:18 | 7 | 25 | 
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 24:17 | 7 | 25 | 
| 6 | Cienciano | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 22:18 | 4 | 24 | 
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 20:21 | -1 | 24 | 
| 8 | Los Chankas | 14 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 17:24 | -7 | 24 | 
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 22 | 
| 10 | AD Tarma | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 | 
| 11 | Alianza Atl | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 12:11 | 1 | 17 | 
| 12 | Grau | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17:19 | -2 | 16 | 
| 13 | Sport Boys | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 14:21 | -7 | 16 | 
| 14 | Sport Huancayo | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 24:26 | -2 | 15 | 
| 15 | Ayacucho | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 15:24 | -9 | 14 | 
| 16 | Alianza Huanuco | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 19:31 | -12 | 14 | 
| 17 | Cajamarca | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16:22 | -6 | 13 | 
| 18 | Juan Pablo II | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 10:19 | -9 | 11 | 
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | 
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