Result
0:1
28/02/2026 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 5
- Referee: Palomino M. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play, Movistar TV App |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.48 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (259/326) | 84% (317/377) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.48 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.27 | 0.40 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (259/326) | 84% (317/377) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (22/56) | 61% (28/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (53/88) | 71% (100/141) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (2/14) | 23% (5/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.25 | 0.64 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (12/17) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 31 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.27 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.60 | 0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 7', Arce L. 🟥,
- 23', de Jesus M. ↓, Arroyo A. ↑,
- 40', Advincula L. 🟨,
- 42', Duarte B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Advincula L. ↓, Quevedo K. ↑,
- 57', Camacho D. ↓, Ganoza M. ↑,
- 58', Ramos L. ↓, Girotti F. ↑,
- 63', Cantero A. ↓, Cari P. ↑,
- 70', Castillo E. 🟥,
- 77', Garro L. ↓, Paredes G. ↑,
- 77', Munoz A. ↓, Rasmussen M. ↑,
- 90+1', Campos A. 🟨,
- 90+1', 0 - 1, Garces R. ⚽, Velez J. (A),
- 90+5', Velez J. ↓, Estrada J. ↑,
- 90+5', Cari P. ↓, Gaibor F. ↑,
- 90+6', Estrada J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cajamarca
32.9% | Draw
29.6% | Alianza Lima
37.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cajamarca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cajamarca's performance.Alianza Lima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alianza Lima might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
Cajamarca - Alianza Lima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.86 ↓
(4.78) |
3.16 ↓
(3.83) |
2.5 ↑
(1.67) |
6.7%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cajamarca - Alianza Lima?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Cajamarca (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cajamarca (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cajamarca won 0.
- Cajamarca is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Alianza Lima's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Cajamarca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Alianza Lima might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Alianza Lima: Archimbaud J.
(Knee Injury)
Castillo J.
(Injury)
Viscarra G.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Cajamarca: Garro L.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cajamarca won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 11:19. (average 0.6:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cajamarca won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.6:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Cajamarca won against Alianza Lima?
Cajamarca has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Lima won against Cajamarca?
Alianza Lima has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cajamarca - Alianza Lima were as follows:
23.11.2025
Alianza Lima
-
Cajamarca
3:0
12.07.2025
Cajamarca
-
Alianza Lima
0:0
18.10.2024
Cajamarca
-
Alianza Lima
0:1
03.05.2024
Alianza Lima
-
Cajamarca
1:0
05.08.2023
Alianza Lima
-
Cajamarca
1:0
Latest results of Cajamarca
Latest results of Alianza Lima
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Los Chankas | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14:8 | 6 | 17 |
| 2 | Alianza Lima | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 17 |
| 3 | U. de Deportes | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 14 |
| 4 | Cienciano | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 13 |
| 5 | Cajamarca | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
| 6 | Sporting Cristal | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 11 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 10 |
| 8 | Comerciantes Unidos | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | Juan Pablo II | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13:18 | -5 | 10 |
| 10 | Alianza Atl | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
| 11 | AD Tarma | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 8 |
| 12 | Sport Huancayo | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:9 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 | Cusco | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 | Moquegua | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5:12 | -7 | 7 |
| 15 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 | FC Cajamarca | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 5 |
| 17 | Grau | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:8 | -5 | 5 |
| 18 | Sport Boys | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:9 | -6 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
