Result
0:0
12/07/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 19
- Referee: Ortega K. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 1.13 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 31% | 69% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 60% (124/205) | 85% (388/457) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.43 | 1.13 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.19 | 0.59 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 60% (124/205) | 85% (388/457) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (19/61) | 56% (30/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 52% (48/93) | 73% (98/135) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (8/16) | 32% (11/34) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 1.51 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 100% (9/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 44 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.19 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 05:14, (Pen),
- 14', Garro L. 🟨,
- 22', Castillo E. ↓, Ceppelini P. ↑,
- 45+1', Campos D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 51', Aguirre J. 🟨,
- 64', Castillo J. ↓, Archimbaud J. ↑,
- 64', Cantero A. ↓, Paolo Guerrero ↑,
- 65', Rugel L. ↓, Lujan J. ↑,
- 72', Gaibor F. ↓, D'Arrigo J. ↑,
- 73', Vasquez A. 🟨,
- 74', Vasquez A. ↓, Villamarin R. ↑,
- 74', Ramirez E. ↓, De la Cruz L. ↑,
- 80', Cari P. ↓, Succar M. ↑,
- 81', Archimbaud J. 🟨,
- 90', Garro L. ↓, Balanta G. ↑,
- 90+5', Trauco M. 🟨,
- 90+8', Aguirre J. ↓, Cabanillas M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cajamarca
15.8% | Draw
24.3% | Alianza Lima
59.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cajamarca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Alianza Lima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Lima than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Cajamarca - Alianza Lima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.81 ↑
(5.25) |
3.86 ↑
(3.6) |
1.55 ↓
(1.62) |
7.7%
(8.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cajamarca - Alianza Lima?
Users Predictions:
Alianza Lima will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Alianza Lima will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 14 and 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cajamarca won 0.
- Recent form of Cajamarca has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Alianza Lima is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Alianza Lima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Alianza Lima is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Cajamarca: Aparicio K.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Alianza Lima: Archimbaud J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Alianza Lima: Lavandeira Hernandez P.
(Tendon Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cajamarca won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 12:20. (average 0.6:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cajamarca won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.6:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Cajamarca won against Alianza Lima?
Cajamarca has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza Lima won against Cajamarca?
Alianza Lima has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cajamarca - Alianza Lima were as follows:
18.10.2024
Cajamarca
-
Alianza Lima
0:1
03.05.2024
Alianza Lima
-
Cajamarca
1:0
05.08.2023
Alianza Lima
-
Cajamarca
1:0
05.03.2023
Cajamarca
-
Alianza Lima
0:1
28.08.2022
Cajamarca
-
Alianza Lima
1:1
Latest results of Cajamarca
Latest results of Alianza Lima
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 15:6 | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Cusco | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 19 |
| 3 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 9 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 14:8 | 6 | 17 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15:5 | 10 | 16 |
| 5 | Alianza Lima | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14:9 | 5 | 15 |
| 6 | FBC Melgar | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | AD Tarma | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 13 |
| 8 | Cienciano | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 12 |
| 9 | Sport Huancayo | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Los Chankas | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12:20 | -8 | 12 |
| 11 | Grau | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Comerciantes Unidos | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 | Alianza Atl | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6:3 | 3 | 10 |
| 14 | Juan Pablo II | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 10 |
| 15 | Alianza Huanuco | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9:15 | -6 | 10 |
| 16 | Ayacucho | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6:13 | -7 | 7 |
| 17 | Sport Boys | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5:13 | -8 | 6 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6:14 | -8 | 2 |
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
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