Result
2:1
03/10/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 13
- Referee: Gonzales I. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.39 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 32% | 68% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (163/234) | 88% (450/512) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.39 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 1.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 9 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (163/234) | 88% (450/512) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (24/62) | 54% (38/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (31/53) | 72% (94/131) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 41% (7/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.72 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 74% (14/19) | 87% (13/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 34 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.10 | 1.89 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.10 | -0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 7', Villete A. 🟨,
- 10', 0 - 1, Quintero J. (Pen),
- 26', 1 - 1, Parodi J. ⚽, Lecaros A. (A),
- 34', 2 - 1, Sen M. ⚽, Parodi J. (A),
- 36', Sen M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Sen M. ↓, Figueroa N. ↑,
- 53', Lecaros A. ↓, Mendez P. ↑,
- 62', Garro L. ↓, Ramirez E. ↑,
- 62', Oncoy F. ↓, Cantt J. ↑,
- 68', Paredes G. ↓, Alcedo F. ↑,
- 68', Marina J. ↓, Chipao R. ↑,
- 70', Biaggio C. 🟨,
- 76', Parodi J. ↓, Nunez J. ↑,
- 80', Vasquez A. 🟨,
- 84', Vega J. ↓, Palacios B. ↑,
- 87', Mejia C. ↓, Aguirre J. ↑,
- 88', Vasquez A. ↓, De la Cruz L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Comerciantes Unidos
39.2% | Draw
29.9% | Cajamarca
30.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Comerciantes Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Comerciantes Unidos's form might have worsened.Cajamarca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cajamarca's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comerciantes Unidos than the current prediction. (+23.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Comerciantes Unidos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (-14.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cajamarca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Comerciantes Unidos - Cajamarca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.52 ↑
(1.53) |
3.21 ↓
(4.15) |
3.01 ↓
(5.35) |
4.1%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Comerciantes Unidos - Cajamarca?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cajamarca (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 18).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Comerciantes Unidos won 1.
- Comerciantes Unidos has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Cajamarca is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Cajamarca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Comerciantes Unidos could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Cajamarca: Aparicio K.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Comerciantes Unidos won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:22. (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Comerciantes Unidos won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Comerciantes Unidos won against Cajamarca?
Comerciantes Unidos has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cajamarca won against Comerciantes Unidos?
Cajamarca has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Comerciantes Unidos - Cajamarca were as follows:
17.05.2025
Cajamarca
-
Comerciantes Unidos
2:0
15.08.2024
Comerciantes Unidos
-
Cajamarca
1:1
08.03.2024
Cajamarca
-
Comerciantes Unidos
2:3
Latest results of Comerciantes Unidos
Latest results of Cajamarca
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 23:8 | 15 | 30 |
| 2 | Cusco | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19:11 | 8 | 23 |
| 3 | AD Tarma | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 17:17 | 0 | 21 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20:8 | 12 | 19 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 18:13 | 5 | 18 |
| 6 | Alianza Lima | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16:16 | 0 | 18 |
| 8 | Alianza Atl | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11:8 | 3 | 16 |
| 9 | Comerciantes Unidos | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 16 |
| 10 | Sport Huancayo | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23:22 | 1 | 15 |
| 11 | Cienciano | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 15 |
| 12 | Grau | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 15 |
| 13 | Los Chankas | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 14:24 | -10 | 15 |
| 14 | Alianza Huanuco | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14:24 | -10 | 13 |
| 15 | Sport Boys | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
| 16 | Juan Pablo II | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
| 17 | Ayacucho | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 11 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9:16 | -7 | 6 |
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
