Result
3:4
13/03/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 7
- Referee: Lozano S. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play, Movistar TV App |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 1.53 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (198/270) | 72% (227/316) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.12 | 1.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 1.61 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 73% (198/270) | 72% (227/316) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (22/54) | 46% (30/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (41/74) | 56% (55/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/15) | 38% (6/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.45 | 0.77 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
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| 44 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
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| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.61 | 1.48 |
| Goals prevented |
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| -2.39 | -1.52 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 4', Alcedo F. 🟨,
- 10', Gallardo J. 🟨,
- 19', 1 - 0, Palacios B. ⚽, Barcos H. (A),
- 32', 2 - 0, Rodriguez A. ⚽, Lagos R. (A),
- 34', Herrera J. 🟨,
- 37', Gallardo J. ↓, Gomez C. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 4)
- 46', Herrera J. ↓, Carranza M. ↑,
- 46', Olivares J. ↓, Ayovi W. ↑,
- 51', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
- 54', 2 - 1, Perez Azambuya E. M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 55', Arrasco M. ↓, Orejuela J. G. ↑,
- 62', Orejuela J. G. 🟥,
- 65', Rodriguez A. ↓, Salinas T. ↑,
- 70', 2 - 2, Ayovi W. ⚽, Vilca R. (A),
- 72', Alcedo F. ↓, Parodi J. ↑,
- 73', Rodriguez A. ↓, Betancourt J. ↑,
- 74', Palacios B. ↓, Meza C. ↑,
- 74', 2 - 3, Parodi J. ⚽, Vilca R. (A),
- 79', 2 - 4, Rodriguez J. ⚽,
- 85', 3 - 4, Barcos H. ⚽, Andrade T. (A),
- 90+1', Arias A. 🟨,
- 90+4', Perez Azambuya E. M. 🟨,
- 90+5', Carranza M. ↓, Vilchez Y. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cajamarca
45.4% | Draw
26.9% | Comerciantes Unidos
27.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cajamarca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cajamarca's form might have worsened.Comerciantes Unidos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Comerciantes Unidos's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (+13%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cajamarca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Comerciantes Unidos than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Comerciantes Unidos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Cajamarca - Comerciantes Unidos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.05 ↑
(1.64) |
3.46 ↓
(4.14) |
3.33 ↓
(4.29) |
7.6%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cajamarca - Comerciantes Unidos?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cajamarca (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 11).
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- In this match, Cajamarca is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Cajamarca: Lavandeira Hernandez P.
(Suspended)
Medina J.
(Broken Hand)
- There will not play in Comerciantes Unidos: F. Rojas
(Elbow Injury)
Sen M.
(Red Card)
Villete A.
(Knee Injury)
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Cajamarca won against Comerciantes Unidos?
Cajamarca has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Comerciantes Unidos won against Cajamarca?
Comerciantes Unidos has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cajamarca - Comerciantes Unidos were as follows:
Latest results of Cajamarca
Latest results of Comerciantes Unidos
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Los Chankas | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 14:8 | 6 | 17 |
| 2 | Alianza Lima | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 17 |
| 3 | U. de Deportes | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 14 |
| 4 | Cienciano | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 13 |
| 5 | Cajamarca | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
| 6 | Sporting Cristal | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 11 |
| 7 | FBC Melgar | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 10 |
| 8 | Comerciantes Unidos | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:12 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 | Juan Pablo II | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13:18 | -5 | 10 |
| 10 | Alianza Atl | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
| 11 | AD Tarma | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 8 |
| 12 | Sport Huancayo | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:9 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 | Cusco | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 14 | Moquegua | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5:12 | -7 | 7 |
| 15 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 |
| 16 | FC Cajamarca | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 5 |
| 17 | Grau | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:8 | -5 | 5 |
| 18 | Sport Boys | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:9 | -6 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
