Result
1:2
04/08/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 4
- Referee: Zamora J. (Per)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 1.74 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (235/301) | 87% (402/462) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 1.74 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.58 | 2.10 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (235/301) | 87% (402/462) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (16/52) | 55% (23/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (66/100) | 58% (45/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 12% (2/17) | 50% (13/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 1.08 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 83% (5/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.10 | 0.58 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.10 | -0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 20', Fuentes A. 🟨,
- 37', 1 - 0, Quintero J. ⚽, Rosell Delgado J. A. (A),
- 42', 1 - 1, Callejo F. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 57', Balanta G. ↓, Ramirez E. ↑,
- 57', Vega J. ↓, Palacios B. ↑,
- 66', Callejo F. 🟨,
- 66', Rugel L. 🟨,
- 71', Oncoy F. ↓, Serra P. ↑,
- 79', Callejo F. ↓, Tevez J. ↑,
- 79', Diez C. ↓, Aucca M. ↑,
- 84', Gamarra C. 🟨,
- 85', Mejia C. 🟨,
- 88', Ruidias M. ↓, Custodio A. ↑,
- 88', Ampuero A. ↓, Zevallos J. ↑,
- 88', Silva N. ↓, Milesi A. ↑,
- 89', Quintero J. ↓, De la Cruz L. ↑,
- 90+5', 1 - 2, Fuentes A. ⚽, Colman I. (A),
- 90+7', Tevez J. 🟨,
- 90+7', Colman I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cajamarca
29.6% | Draw
28.8% | Cusco
41.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cajamarca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)Cusco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cusco than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Cajamarca - Cusco Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.16 ↑
(2.71) |
3.24 ↓
(3.25) |
2.26 ↓
(2.54) |
6.8%
(7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cajamarca - Cusco?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cusco (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Cusco will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cajamarca won 1.
- Cajamarca has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Cusco is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Cajamarca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Cusco could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Cajamarca: Aparicio K.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Cajamarca: Garro L.
(Injury)
Romero F.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cajamarca won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:27. (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cajamarca won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 1.7:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Cajamarca won against Cusco?
Cajamarca has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cusco won against Cajamarca?
Cusco has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cajamarca - Cusco were as follows:
01.03.2025
Cusco
-
Cajamarca
1:1
19.07.2024
Cajamarca
-
Cusco
2:1
02.02.2024
Cusco
-
Cajamarca
1:1
26.06.2023
Cusco
-
Cajamarca
2:1
27.03.2023
Cajamarca
-
Cusco
0:0
Latest results of Cajamarca
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sporting Cristal | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11:0 | 11 | 13 |
| 2 | U. de Deportes | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10:3 | 7 | 13 |
| 3 | Cusco | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 7 | 12 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 9 |
| 5 | Alianza Lima | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 8 |
| 6 | Sport Huancayo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 | Alianza Atl | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 6 |
| 8 | AD Tarma | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 6 |
| 9 | Los Chankas | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
| 10 | Cienciano | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 5 |
| 11 | Binacional | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 5 |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
| 13 | FBC Melgar | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Grau | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 4 |
| 15 | Alianza Huanuco | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 | Ayacucho | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
| 17 | Sport Boys | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 4 |
| 18 | Comerciantes Unidos | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 | Cajamarca | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
