Result
 
                    1:2
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        20/09/2025 at  20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Mexico | Fanatiz | 
|  Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play | 
|  Usa | Fanatiz, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.40 | 2.94 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 44% | 56% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 7 | 28 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 3 | 8 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 0 | 3 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 2 | 7 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 78% (299/385) | 81% (384/474) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 3 | 5 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 0.40 | 2.94 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 0.80 | 1.74 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 7 | 28 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 3 | 8 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 2 | 12 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 2 | 8 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 4 | 19 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 3 | 9 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 2 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 0 | 3 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 2 | 7 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 6 | 51 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 1 | 1 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 10 | 11 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 78% (299/385) | 81% (384/474) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 44% (25/57) | 66% (40/61) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 50% (26/52) | 71% (146/205) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 25% (1/4) | 34% (10/29) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.14 | 1.01 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 17 | 23 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 11 | 10 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 85% (17/20) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 41 | 59 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 53 | 12 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 6 | 12 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 6 | 2 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 1.74 | 0.80 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| -0.26 | -0.20 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 11', Cantt J. 🟨, 
- 22', Castillo J. 🟨, 
- 32', 0 - 1, Valera A. ⚽, Concha J. (A), 
- 45+3', Vasquez A. 🟨, 
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Perez M. 🟨, 
- 53', Velez J. 🟨, 
- 62', Perez M. ↓, Calcaterra H. ↑, 
- 66', Alvarez L. ↓, Villamarin R. ↑, 
- 66', Garro L. ↓, Ramirez E. ↑, 
- 67', 1 - 1, Ramirez E. ⚽, 
- 70', Oncoy F. 🟨, 
- 73', Velez J. ↓, Rivera J. ↑, 
- 73', Carabali J. ↓, Inga C. ↑, 
- 73', Concha J. ↓, Flores E. ↑, 
- 79', Mejia C. ↓, Aguirre J. ↑, 
- 83', Corzo A. ↓, Diego Churin ↑, 
- 90', Vega J. ↓, Rugel L. ↑, 
- 90', Vasquez A. ↓, De la Cruz L. ↑, 
- 90', Diego Churin 🟨, 
- 90+8', 1 - 2, Valera A. ⚽, 
- 90+9', Valera A. 🟨, 
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Cajamarca 8.7%
 | Draw 20%
 | Universitario de Deportes 71.3%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Cajamarca - Universitario de Deportes Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 10.49 ↑ (5.94)
 | 4.67 ↑ (3.75)
 | 1.34 ↓ (1.58)
 | 5.6% (6.8%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Cajamarca - Universitario de Deportes?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            4 users predict this event. Cajamarca will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Uni de Deportes will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1 - Uni de Deportes (1.45) (votes: 3 - 100%). 
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.  
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 and 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cajamarca won 1.
- Cajamarca is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Uni de Deportes has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Cajamarca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Uni de Deportes is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Cajamarca: Aparicio K.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Uni de Deportes: Polo A.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Uni de Deportes: Santamaria A.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cajamarca won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 17:30. (average 0.9:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cajamarca won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.7:0.8).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Cajamarca won against Universitario de Deportes?
                    
                    
                        
                            Cajamarca has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Universitario de Deportes won against Cajamarca?
                    
                    
                        
                             Universitario de Deportes has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Cajamarca - Universitario de Deportes were as follows:
                                                        
                                27.04.2025 
                                Universitario de Deportes 
                                - 
                                Cajamarca 
                                6:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                04.08.2024 
                                Universitario de Deportes 
                                - 
                                Cajamarca 
                                1:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                24.02.2024 
                                Cajamarca 
                                - 
                                Universitario de Deportes 
                                0:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                02.10.2023 
                                Universitario de Deportes 
                                - 
                                Cajamarca 
                                3:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                28.05.2023 
                                Cajamarca 
                                - 
                                Universitario de Deportes 
                                1:0
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Cajamarca                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Universitario de Deportes                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 15 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 28:10 | 18 | 39 | 
| 2 | Cusco | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 22:12 | 10 | 29 | 
| 3 | Alianza Lima | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 23:16 | 7 | 24 | 
| 4 | FBC Melgar | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 22:15 | 7 | 24 | 
| 5 | Sporting Cristal | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 21:10 | 11 | 22 | 
| 6 | Comerciantes Unidos | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 16:17 | -1 | 22 | 
| 7 | Cienciano | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 20:17 | 3 | 21 | 
| 8 | AD Tarma | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 21 | 
| 9 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 19:21 | -2 | 21 | 
| 10 | Los Chankas | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 16:24 | -8 | 21 | 
| 11 | Alianza Atl | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 11:10 | 1 | 16 | 
| 12 | Sport Huancayo | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 24:26 | -2 | 15 | 
| 13 | Grau | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 16:18 | -2 | 15 | 
| 14 | Sport Boys | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 12:19 | -7 | 15 | 
| 15 | Ayacucho | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:23 | -8 | 14 | 
| 16 | Alianza Huanuco | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 17:29 | -12 | 13 | 
| 17 | Cajamarca | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14:20 | -6 | 12 | 
| 18 | Juan Pablo II | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 9:17 | -8 | 11 | 
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 | 
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