Result
1:2
20/09/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 1 - Clausura - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Peru | Liga 1 Max, Liga 1 Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 2.94 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 28 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (299/385) | 81% (384/474) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.40 | 2.94 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 1.74 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 28 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 12 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 19 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 6 | 51 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (299/385) | 81% (384/474) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (25/57) | 66% (40/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 50% (26/52) | 71% (146/205) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (1/4) | 34% (10/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.14 | 1.01 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 85% (17/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 53 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.74 | 0.80 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.26 | -0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 11', Cantt J. 🟨,
- 22', Castillo J. 🟨,
- 32', 0 - 1, Valera A. ⚽, Concha J. (A),
- 45+3', Vasquez A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Perez M. 🟨,
- 53', Velez J. 🟨,
- 62', Perez M. ↓, Calcaterra H. ↑,
- 66', Alvarez L. ↓, Villamarin R. ↑,
- 66', Garro L. ↓, Ramirez E. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 1, Ramirez E. ⚽,
- 70', Oncoy F. 🟨,
- 73', Velez J. ↓, Rivera J. ↑,
- 73', Carabali J. ↓, Inga C. ↑,
- 73', Concha J. ↓, Flores E. ↑,
- 79', Mejia C. ↓, Aguirre J. ↑,
- 83', Corzo A. ↓, Diego Churin ↑,
- 90', Vega J. ↓, Rugel L. ↑,
- 90', Vasquez A. ↓, De la Cruz L. ↑,
- 90', Diego Churin 🟨,
- 90+8', 1 - 2, Valera A. ⚽,
- 90+9', Valera A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cajamarca
8.7% | Draw
20% | Universitario de Deportes
71.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cajamarca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cajamarca's form might have worsened.Universitario de Deportes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Universitario de Deportes's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cajamarca than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cajamarca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Universitario de Deportes than the current prediction. (-10.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Universitario de Deportes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Cajamarca - Universitario de Deportes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
11.81 ↑
(5.94) |
4.95 ↑
(3.75) |
1.28 ↓
(1.58) |
7.1%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cajamarca - Universitario de Deportes?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Cajamarca will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Uni de Deportes will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1 - Uni de Deportes (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 and 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cajamarca won 1.
- Cajamarca is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Uni de Deportes has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Cajamarca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Uni de Deportes is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Cajamarca: Aparicio K.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Uni de Deportes: Polo A.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Uni de Deportes: Santamaria A.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cajamarca won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 17:30. (average 0.9:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cajamarca won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 0.7:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Cajamarca won against Universitario de Deportes?
Cajamarca has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Universitario de Deportes won against Cajamarca?
Universitario de Deportes has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cajamarca - Universitario de Deportes were as follows:
27.04.2025
Universitario de Deportes
-
Cajamarca
6:0
04.08.2024
Universitario de Deportes
-
Cajamarca
1:0
24.02.2024
Cajamarca
-
Universitario de Deportes
0:0
02.10.2023
Universitario de Deportes
-
Cajamarca
3:0
28.05.2023
Cajamarca
-
Universitario de Deportes
1:0
Latest results of Cajamarca
Latest results of Universitario de Deportes
Peruvian Liga 1 Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | U. de Deportes | 12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 23:8 | 15 | 30 |
| 2 | Cusco | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 18:10 | 8 | 22 |
| 3 | AD Tarma | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 20 |
| 4 | Sporting Cristal | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 20:8 | 12 | 19 |
| 5 | FBC Melgar | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 18:13 | 5 | 18 |
| 6 | Alianza Lima | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16:16 | 0 | 18 |
| 8 | Sport Huancayo | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23:22 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 | Cienciano | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 15 |
| 10 | Grau | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 15 |
| 11 | Comerciantes Unidos | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 15 |
| 12 | Los Chankas | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 14:23 | -9 | 15 |
| 13 | Alianza Atl | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10:8 | 2 | 13 |
| 14 | Alianza Huanuco | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14:24 | -10 | 13 |
| 15 | Sport Boys | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
| 16 | Juan Pablo II | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
| 17 | Ayacucho | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 8:17 | -9 | 10 |
| 18 | Cajamarca | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9:16 | -7 | 6 |
| 19 | Binacional | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: )
