Cal Poly Mustangs vs Cal State Northridge Matadors – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
96:97
05/02/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NCAA

Chances of winning


Cal Poly Mustangs
45.4%
Cal State Northridge Matadors
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.2% 53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9% 56.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cal Poly Mustangs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • Cal State Northridge Matadors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cal Poly Mustangs than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cal State Northridge Matadors than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • Cal Poly Mustangs - Cal State Northridge Matadors Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.08
    (2.03)

    1.73
    (1.74)
    6.2%
    (6.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 176.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cal Poly won 0.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Cal State Northridge may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cal Poly won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 1446:1525. (average 72.3:76.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cal Poly won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 821:824. (average 74.6:74.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cal Poly Mustangs - Cal State Northridge Matadors were as follows:
    08.01.2026 Cal State Northridge Matadors - Cal Poly Mustangs 95:90
    15.02.2025 Cal State Northridge Matadors - Cal Poly Mustangs 89:85
    07.12.2024 Cal Poly Mustangs - Cal State Northridge Matadors 91:102
    08.02.2024 Cal State Northridge Matadors - Cal Poly Mustangs 78:65
    28.12.2023 Cal Poly Mustangs - Cal State Northridge Matadors 73:83
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/64-finals
    1DukeBye
    2ByeSiena
    3Ohio StateBye
    4ByeTCU
    5St. John's (N.Y.)Bye
    6ByeNorthern Iowa
    7KansasBye
    8ByeCalifornia Baptist
    9LouisvilleBye
    10ByeSouth Florida
    11Michigan StateBye
    12ByeNorth Dakota St
    13UCLABye
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    15UConnBye
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    17FloridaBye
    18SMU MustangsMiami (Ohio)
    19ClemsonBye
    20ByeIowa
    21VanderbiltBye
    22ByeMcNeese State
    23NebraskaBye
    24ByeTroy
    25North CarolinaBye
    26ByeVCU Rams
    27IllinoisBye
    28ByePenn
    29St. Marys (CA)Bye
    30ByeTexas A&M
    31HoustonBye
    32ByeIdaho
    33ArizonaBye
    34ByeLIU Sharks
    35VillanovaBye
    36ByeUtah State
    37WisconsinBye
    38ByeHigh Point
    39ArkansasBye
    40ByeHawaii
    41Brigham YoungBye
    42NC StateTexas66 : 68
    43GonzagaBye
    44ByeKennesaw State
    45Miami (FL)Bye
    46ByeMissouri
    47PurdueBye
    48ByeQueens Royals
    49MichiganBye
    50HowardUMBC Retrievers86 : 83
    51GeorgiaBye
    52ByeSt. Louis Billikens
    53Texas TechBye
    54ByeAkron
    55AlabamaBye
    56ByeHofstra
    57TennesseeBye
    58LehighPrairie View A&M
    59VirginiaBye
    60ByeWright State
    61KentuckyBye
    62ByeSanta Clara
    63Iowa StateBye
    64ByeTennessee State

    1/32-finals
    1DukeSiena
    2Ohio StateTCU
    3St. John's (N.Y.)Northern Iowa
    4KansasCalifornia Baptist
    5LouisvilleSouth Florida
    6Michigan StateNorth Dakota St
    7UCLAUCF Knights
    8UConnFurman
    9FloridaTBD #18
    10ClemsonIowa
    11VanderbiltMcNeese State
    12NebraskaTroy
    13North CarolinaVCU Rams
    14IllinoisPenn
    15St. Marys (CA)Texas A&M
    16HoustonIdaho
    17ArizonaLIU Sharks
    18VillanovaUtah State
    19WisconsinHigh Point
    20ArkansasHawaii
    21Brigham YoungTexas
    22GonzagaKennesaw State
    23Miami (FL)Missouri
    24PurdueQueens Royals
    25MichiganHoward
    26GeorgiaSt. Louis Billikens
    27Texas TechAkron
    28AlabamaHofstra
    29TennesseeTBD #58
    30VirginiaWright State
    31KentuckySanta Clara
    32Iowa StateTennessee State

    1/16-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13TBD #25TBD #26
    14TBD #27TBD #28
    15TBD #29TBD #30
    16TBD #31TBD #32

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2