Varea vs Calahorra – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
29/03/2026 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Taha M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 75', 1 - 1, Ubis E. ,

Chances of winning


Varea
29.4%
Draw
30%
Calahorra
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35% 28.6% 36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36% 29.4% 35.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Varea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Varea's form might have worsened.
  • Calahorra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varea than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Varea, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calahorra than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Calahorra, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Varea - Calahorra Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.11
    (2.57)
    3.05
    (3.14)
    2.25
    (2.47)
    9.5%
    (11.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: ) and 6).
    • In recent matches, Varea has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Calahorra is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Calahorra may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Varea won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Varea won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Varea - Calahorra were as follows:
    16.11.2025 Calahorra - Varea 1:1
    Latest results of Varea
    21.03.2026 Comillas - Varea 2:1
    15.03.2026 Varea - Vianés 2:1
    08.03.2026 Arnedo - Varea 3:0
    01.03.2026 Varea - San Marcial 1:0
    22.02.2026 La Calzada - Varea 1:2
    Latest results of Calahorra
    15.03.2026 Autol - Calahorra 0:2
    08.03.2026 Calahorra - Berceo 2:0
    22.02.2026 Calahorra - Oyonesa 0:0
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1UD Logrones B30228081:216074
    2Varea30215449:232668
    3Arnedo30188466:234362
    4Calahorra301510571:215055
    5Oyonesa30156946:38851
    6Anguiano30148842:34850
    7Haro Deportivo301461053:44948
    8Agoncillo301371053:401346
    9Vianes301081236:41-538
    10Yague309111043:42138
    11Berceo30991238:43-536
    12San Marcial30971433:52-1934
    13CDFC Calzada30961536:52-1633
    14Comillas30941726:51-2531
    15Pradejon30781526:45-1929
    16Villegas30751832:60-2826
    17Autol30352218:70-5214
    18Pena Balsamaiso300111922:71-4911

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation