Caldas vs Mafra – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 3 Caldas - Mafra
Result
1:1
28/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 3 - Round 6
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
126
Shots on target
62
Corner Kicks
75
Yellow Cards
34
Total shots
126
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
64
Corner Kicks
75

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 25', Beni D. 🟨,
  • 38', Neves L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 47', Clemente D. 🟨,
  • 48', Niang M. 🟨,
  • 71', Pipo , Gata J. ,
  • 71', Velosa M. , Ewandro Santos ,
  • 76', Niang M. , Iheanacho S. ,
  • 76', Lucas Gabriel , Goncalves V. ,
  • 77', 🟨,
  • 79', 0 - 1, Maneta D. (Own goal),
  • 84', 1 - 1, Tarzan ,
  • 90+2', 🟨,
  • 90+2', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Caldas
39.7%
Draw
29.9%
Mafra
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.7% 27.4% 29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3% 26.4% 28.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Caldas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • Mafra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caldas than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • Caldas - Mafra Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.32
    (2.12)
    3.09
    (3.3)
    3.04
    (3.02)
    8.4%
    (10.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: ) and 7 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).
    • Caldas is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Mafra has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Mafra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Caldas could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Caldas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 1:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Caldas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Caldas - Mafra were as follows:
    27.07.2024 Caldas - Mafra 0:2
    Latest results of Caldas
    20.09.2025 Caldas - Fatima 3:0
    14.09.2025 Caldas - 1 Dezembro 2:2
    05.09.2025 Caldas - Portomosense 4:0
    24.08.2025 Atlético CP - Caldas 2:0
    Latest results of Mafra
    21.09.2025 Celoricense - Mafra 1:0
    14.09.2025 Covilhã - Mafra 0:0
    24.08.2025 Mafra - Académica Coimbra 1:0
    17.08.2025 Lusitano GC - Mafra 4:1
    09.08.2025 Mafra - Belenenses 1:1
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    2025/26

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Braga B73317:6112
    2Sanjoanense725010:7311
    3Trofense632110:4611
    4Varzim62319:549
    5AD Marco 0961503:218
    6Vitoria Guimaraes B71427:707
    7Paredes60516:7-15
    8Amarante61235:7-25
    9Sao Joao Ver60424:10-64
    10AD Fafe50323:9-63


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Caldas74219:6314
    2Os Belenenses63126:7-110
    31u00ba Dezembro52305:329
    4Academica53028:449
    5Santarem72234:7-38
    6Lusitano GC62138:627
    7Amora62135:6-17
    8Atletico CP62044:6-26
    9Mafra51314:6-26
    10Covilha50323:5-23

          Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
          Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )