Result
03/01/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Mafra
49.2% | Draw
28.4% | Caldas
22.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Mafra - Caldas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.84 ↑
(1.73) |
3.18 ↓
(3.31) |
4.02 ↓
(4.54) |
10.8%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: ) and 5 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).
- Recent performances by Mafra have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Caldas has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Recently, Caldas has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Mafra is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mafra won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mafra won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Mafra won against Caldas?
Mafra has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Caldas won against Mafra?
Caldas has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mafra - Caldas were as follows:
28.09.2025
Caldas
-
Mafra
1:1
27.07.2024
Caldas
-
Mafra
0:2
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
2025/26Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Trofense | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 24 |
| 2 | Amarante | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 21 |
| 3 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 20 |
| 4 | Braga B | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 20 |
| 5 | Varzim | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 19:14 | 5 | 19 |
| 6 | AD Fafe | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 16:18 | -2 | 17 |
| 7 | Paredes | 14 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 14:11 | 3 | 17 |
| 8 | AD Marco 09 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 16 |
| 9 | Sao Joao Ver | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 10:19 | -9 | 13 |
| 10 | Sanjoanense | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 16:20 | -4 | 13 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Os Belenenses | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 20:12 | 8 | 29 |
| 2 | Mafra | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21:15 | 6 | 26 |
| 3 | Academica | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 22:15 | 7 | 21 |
| 4 | Atletico CP | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 13:10 | 3 | 20 |
| 5 | Caldas | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 13:16 | -3 | 18 |
| 6 | Amora | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 15:16 | -1 | 17 |
| 7 | Santarem | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 11:12 | -1 | 17 |
| 8 | 1u00ba Dezembro | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 11:17 | -6 | 15 |
| 9 | Lusitano GC | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14:16 | -2 | 14 |
| 10 | Covilha | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 8:19 | -11 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )
