Result
1:1
28/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 25', Beni D. 🟨,
- 38', Neves L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 47', Clemente D. 🟨,
- 48', Niang M. 🟨,
- 71', Pipo ↓, Gata J. ↑,
- 71', Velosa M. ↓, Ewandro Santos ↑,
- 76', Niang M. ↓, Iheanacho S. ↑,
- 76', Lucas Gabriel ↓, Goncalves V. ↑,
- 77', 🟨,
- 79', 0 - 1, Maneta D. (Own goal),
- 84', 1 - 1, Tarzan ⚽,
- 90+2', 🟨,
- 90+2', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Caldas
39.7% | Draw
29.9% | Mafra
30.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caldas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Mafra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caldas than the current prediction. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Caldas - Mafra Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.32 ↑
(2.12) |
3.09 ↓
(3.3) |
3.04 ↑
(3.02) |
8.4%
(10.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: ) and 7 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).
- Caldas is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Mafra has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Mafra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Caldas could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Caldas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 1:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Caldas won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Caldas won against Mafra?
Caldas has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mafra won against Caldas?
Mafra has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Caldas - Mafra were as follows:
27.07.2024
Caldas
-
Mafra
0:2
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
2025/26Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Trofense | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 15 |
| 2 | AD Fafe | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 12 |
| 3 | Braga B | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 12 |
| 4 | Sanjoanense | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 5 | Varzim | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 3 | 9 |
| 6 | AD Marco 09 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 9 |
| 7 | Paredes | 7 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 9 | Sao Joao Ver | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5:12 | -7 | 7 |
| 10 | Amarante | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 5 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Caldas | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 14 |
| 2 | Os Belenenses | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | 2 | 13 |
| 3 | Mafra | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 12 |
| 4 | Academica | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10:5 | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | Atletico CP | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8:6 | 2 | 9 |
| 6 | 1u00ba Dezembro | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:10 | -4 | 9 |
| 7 | Santarem | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 8 |
| 8 | Lusitano GC | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:8 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | Amora | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 7 |
| 10 | Covilha | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )
