Result
2:0
22/04/2023 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - RELEGATION GROUP - ROUND 4
Chances of winning
Caldas
65.3% | Draw
21.3% | Moncarapachense
13.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caldas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Caldas's performance.Moncarapachense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Moncarapachense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caldas than the current prediction. (-20%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Caldas that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moncarapachense than the current prediction. (+11.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Moncarapachense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Caldas - Moncarapachense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.41 ↓
(2.07) |
4.32 ↑
(3) |
6.83 ↑
(3.56) |
8.9%
(9.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- Caldas has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Moncarapachense is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Moncarapachense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently Caldas have a series of guest games.
- In this match Caldas is a favorite.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Caldas won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.
- Including matches at home between the teams Caldas won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Caldas won against Moncarapachense?
Caldas has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Moncarapachense won against Caldas?
Moncarapachense has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Caldas - Moncarapachense were as follows:
02.04.2023
Moncarapachense
-
Caldas
1:1
14.01.2023
Moncarapachense
-
Caldas
1:1
03.09.2022
Caldas
-
Moncarapachense
3:1
Latest results of Moncarapachense
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
2025/26Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Braga B | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | Varzim | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:1 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Trofense | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 5 |
| 4 | Sanjoanense | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 5 |
| 5 | Amarante | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | AD Marco 09 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Paredes | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 2 |
| 9 | AD Fafe | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 2 |
| 10 | Sao Joao Ver | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:6 | -6 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | 1u00ba Dezembro | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Os Belenenses | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Caldas | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Santarem | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 5 | Amora | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 4 |
| 6 | Mafra | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
| 7 | Lusitano GC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:3 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Atletico CP | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Academica | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 10 | Covilha | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga 3 (Promotion Group: )
Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )
