Varesina vs Caldiero Terme – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
21/12/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie D - Group B - Round 17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 23', 0 - 1, Gentile T. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 85', 1 - 1, ,
  • 90', 1 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Varesina
36.4%
Draw
29.2%
Caldiero Terme
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.1% 27.9% 34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39% 27.3% 33.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Varesina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Caldiero Terme has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varesina than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caldiero Terme than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Varesina - Caldiero Terme Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.47
    (2.4)
    3.08
    (3.27)
    2.62
    (2.69)
    11.1%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: ) and 11).
    • Varesina is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Caldiero Terme's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Varesina won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Varesina won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Varesina - Caldiero Terme were as follows:
    07.04.2024 Varesina - Caldiero Terme 0:2
    26.11.2023 Caldiero Terme - Varesina 1:0
    Latest results of Varesina
    14.12.2025 Breno - Varesina 2:0
    07.12.2025 Varesina - Milan Futuro 1:2
    30.11.2025 Chievo - Varesina 1:2
    19.11.2025 Club Milano - Varesina 1:0
    Latest results of Caldiero Terme
    Italian Serie D - Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Folgore Caratese28169346:202657
    2AC Milan U2328137844:321246
    3Chievo281441040:37346
    4Leon28129737:28945
    5Villa Valle281351038:37144
    6USD Casatese281013538:281043
    7Scanzorosciate281012638:261242
    8Brusaporto281261033:29442
    9Ciserano-Bergamo281010824:23140
    10Caldiero Terme28912738:31739
    11Oltrepo281171029:30-137
    12Castellanzese28991035:30536
    13Real Calepina281061237:38-136
    14Breno28791232:42-1030
    15Varesina285131030:36-628
    16Pavia286101228:41-1328
    17Sondrio28651726:55-2923
    18Vogherese ✔ 28281818:48-308

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )
          Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Vogherese is Relegated to