Calgary Surge vs Niagara River Lions – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball Canadian CEBL Calgary Surge - Niagara River Lions
Result
73:79
24/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CEBL - Play Offs - Final

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
7274
Field Goals Made
2529
Field Goals %
34.7%39.2%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
3542
2-Point Field Goals Made
1619
2-Point Field Goals %
45.7%45.2%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
3732
3-Point Field Goals Made
910
3-Point Field Goals %
24.3%31.3%
Free Throws Attempted
2215
Free Throws Made
1512
Free Throws %
68.2%80%
Offensive Rebounds
1412
Defensive Rebounds
3238
Total Rebounds
4650
Assists
1717
Blocks
80
Turnovers
1113
Steals
73
Personal Fouls
1520

Chances of winning


Calgary Surge
69.1%
Niagara River Lions
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.9% 31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71% 29%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Calgary Surge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Niagara River Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calgary Surge than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Niagara River Lions than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Calgary Surge - Niagara River Lions Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.32
    (1.34)

    2.95
    (2.96)
    9.7%
    (8.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 179.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
  • Preview Facts
    • Played with special rules.
    • Calgary is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Niagara River is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Niagara River may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Calgary has had a series of home games.
    • Recently, Niagara River has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Calgary is the team to beat.
    • We predict that Calgary will win today's game, with odds of 1.31.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Calgary won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 442:467. (average 88.4:93.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Calgary won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 179:158. (average 89.5:79).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Calgary Surge - Niagara River Lions were as follows:
    10.08.2025 Calgary Surge - Niagara River Lions 94:76
    04.07.2024 Niagara River Lions - Calgary Surge 109:89
    23.06.2023 Niagara River Lions - Calgary Surge 99:86
    30.05.2023 Calgary Surge - Niagara River Lions 85:82
    Latest results of Calgary Surge
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Winnipeg Sea BearsBye
    3Vancouver BanditsBye
    4Calgary SurgeEdmonton Stingers103 : 95
    5Niagara River LionsBye
    7Ottawa BlackjacksBye
    8Scarborough Shooting StarsMontreal Alliance92 : 86

    Quarter-finals
    1Winnipeg Sea BearsBye
    2Vancouver BanditsCalgary Surge103 : 105
    3Niagara River LionsBye
    4Ottawa BlackjacksScarborough Shooting Stars81 : 114

    Semi-finals
    1Winnipeg Sea BearsCalgary Surge79 : 90
    2Niagara River LionsScarborough Shooting Stars93 : 91

    Final
    1Calgary SurgeNiagara River Lions73 : 79