Calgary Surge vs Winnipeg Sea Bears – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball Canadian CEBL Calgary Surge - Winnipeg Sea Bears
Result
90:79
22/08/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CEBL - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
8079
Field Goals Made
3429
Field Goals %
42.5%36.7%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
3648
2-Point Field Goals Made
1822
2-Point Field Goals %
50%45.8%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
4431
3-Point Field Goals Made
167
3-Point Field Goals %
36.4%22.6%
Free Throws Attempted
920
Free Throws Made
614
Free Throws %
66.7%70%
Offensive Rebounds
1516
Defensive Rebounds
3932
Total Rebounds
5448
Assists
1417
Blocks
81
Turnovers
1715
Steals
89
Personal Fouls
2012

Chances of winning


Calgary Surge
71.2%
Winnipeg Sea Bears
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65% 35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1% 33.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Calgary Surge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Calgary Surge's performance.
  • Winnipeg Sea Bears has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Winnipeg Sea Bears might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calgary Surge than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Calgary Surge that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Winnipeg Sea Bears than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Winnipeg Sea Bears could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Calgary Surge - Winnipeg Sea Bears Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.31
    (1.43)

    3.22
    (2.66)
    7.6%
    (7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 178.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
  • What is the prediction for Calgary Surge - Winnipeg Sea Bears?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Calgary (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 92:86.
  • Preview Facts
    • Played with special rules.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Calgary won 3.
    • Calgary has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Winnipeg has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Calgary may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Calgary will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Calgary won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 824:785. (average 91.6:87.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Calgary won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 552:485. (average 92:80.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Calgary Surge - Winnipeg Sea Bears were as follows:
    27.07.2025 Calgary Surge - Winnipeg Sea Bears 78:79
    17.07.2025 Winnipeg Sea Bears - Calgary Surge 89:93
    02.08.2024 Calgary Surge - Winnipeg Sea Bears 84:82
    25.07.2024 Calgary Surge - Winnipeg Sea Bears 87:83
    23.07.2024 Winnipeg Sea Bears - Calgary Surge 111:104
    Latest results of Calgary Surge
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Winnipeg Sea BearsBye
    3Vancouver BanditsBye
    4Calgary SurgeEdmonton Stingers103 : 95
    5Niagara River LionsBye
    7Ottawa BlackjacksBye
    8Scarborough Shooting StarsMontreal Alliance92 : 86

    Quarter-finals
    1Winnipeg Sea BearsBye
    2Vancouver BanditsCalgary Surge103 : 105
    3Niagara River LionsBye
    4Ottawa BlackjacksScarborough Shooting Stars81 : 114

    Semi-finals
    1Winnipeg Sea BearsCalgary Surge79 : 90
    2Niagara River LionsScarborough Shooting Stars93 : 91

    Final
    1Calgary SurgeNiagara River Lions73 : 79