Ontario Reign vs Calgary Wranglers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1 OT
07/12/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • AHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaFlohockey

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2616
Shooting PCT
7.69% (2/26)6.25% (1/16)
Goalkeeper Saves
1524
Saves PCT
93.75% (15/16)92.31% (24/26)
Penalties
34
PIM
68
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/4)0% (0/3)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (3/3)100% (4/4)
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Period (1 - 1)
  • 05:04, 0 - 1, Suniev A. (G), Miromanov D. (A), Morton S. (A2)
  • 08:52, 1 - 1, Lee A. (G), Connors K. (A), Wright J. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (0 - 0)
  • Overtime (1 - 0)
  • 03:00, 2 - 1, Hicketts J. (G), Guttman C. (A), Booth A. (A2)

Chances of winning


Ontario Reign
44.8%
Draw
21.7%
Calgary Wranglers
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.2% 21% 33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46% 20.6% 33.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ontario Reign has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Calgary Wranglers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ontario Reign than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calgary Wranglers than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • Ontario Reign - Calgary Wranglers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.06
    (2.05)
    4.27
    (4.41)
    2.74
    (2.75)
    8.5%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
    Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ontario won 3.
    • Ontario is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Calgary has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Calgary may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Ontario has had a series of home games.
    • Recently, Calgary has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • We predict that Ontario will win today's game, with odds of 2.06.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ontario won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 64:43. (average 3.2:2.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ontario won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 34:24. (average 3.1:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ontario Reign - Calgary Wranglers were as follows:
    06.12.2025 Ontario Reign - Calgary Wranglers 6:1
    12.11.2025 Calgary Wranglers - Ontario Reign 3:2
    11.11.2025 Calgary Wranglers - Ontario Reign 1:5
    05.04.2025 Calgary Wranglers - Ontario Reign 3:1
    23.02.2025 Ontario Reign - Calgary Wranglers 2:1
    Latest results of Ontario Reign
    AHL Table
    2025/26

    Atlantic Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Providence Bruins553211111182:11887
    2Wilkes-Barre/Scranton57315714189:15079
    3Charlotte Checkers56267518188:15771
    4Hershey Bears57206823164:17760
    5Bridgeport Islanders57204825170:17856
    6Lehigh Valley Phantoms56168626166:18854
    7Springfield Thunderbirds56193727151:19651
    8Hartford Wolf Pack55184627149:18550


    Central Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Grand Rapids Griffins5636749196:11190
    2Chicago Wolves532171213172:16768
    3Manitoba Moose51224619132:14358
    4Texas Stars54189423162:17158
    5Milwaukee Admirals54148725152:16551
    6Rockford IceHogs56155432152:19444
    7Iowa Wild54136530126:17043


    Pacific Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Ontario Reign56299216190:15178
    2Colorado Eagles55267814178:13974
    3San Jose Barracuda54259416188:16472
    4Bakersfield Condors572281017192:17870
    5Coachella Valley Firebirds55219520184:17065
    6San Diego Gulls552051218164:16162
    7Henderson Silver Knights532131019174:16858
    8Tucson Roadrunners551312822171:18258
    9Calgary Wranglers571091424152:20852
    10Abbotsford Canucks57138630132:19148


    North Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Laval Rocket592610518192:15777
    2Syracuse Crunch56323417184:13674
    3Cleveland Monsters561713719164:16767
    4Toronto Marlies56207920176:18063
    5Rochester Americans54195921166:16857
    6Belleville Senators58166828181:21452
    7Utica Comets56173927144:17949

          Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )