Aguascalientes Railroaders vs Caliente de Durango – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Baseball LMB Aguascalientes Railroaders - Caliente de Durango
Result
12:7
27/07/2025 at 19:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • LMB

Match Stats

Hits
1111
Errors
22
2B - double
12
3B - triple
01
Home Runs
21
Runs batted in
117
Left on base
39
Base on Balls
47
Strikeouts
76
Stolen bases
11
At bat
3835
Batting Average
0.2890.314

Chances of winning


Aguascalientes Railroaders
46.3%
Caliente de Durango
53.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.2% 53.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5% 52.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aguascalientes Railroaders has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Caliente de Durango has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aguascalientes Railroaders than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caliente de Durango than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Aguascalientes Railroaders - Caliente de Durango Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.01
    (1.99)

    1.73
    (1.71)
    7.6%
    (8.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 15.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 10 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aguascalientes won 0.
    • Aguascalientes has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Caliente de Durango's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Recently, Aguascalientes has had a series of home games.
    • Recently, Caliente de Durango has had a series of away games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Aguascalientes won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 144:152. (average 8.5:8.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Aguascalientes won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 84:104. (average 8.4:10.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aguascalientes Railroaders - Caliente de Durango were as follows:
    26.07.2025 Caliente de Durango - Aguascalientes Railroaders 6:5
    25.07.2025 Aguascalientes Railroaders - Caliente de Durango 5:10
    08.06.2025 Aguascalientes Railroaders - Caliente de Durango 10:17
    07.06.2025 Aguascalientes Railroaders - Caliente de Durango 12:15
    06.06.2025 Aguascalientes Railroaders - Caliente de Durango 10:18
    LMB Table
    Main

    North Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Monterrey905436536:4450.600
    2Toros de Tijuana905238529:4570.578
    3Monclova884939512:4680.557
    4Dos Laredos915041563:5060.549
    5Laguna904842514:5450.533
    6Jalisco904644614:5910.511
    7Saltillo904347613:6140.478
    8Chihuahua904149571:5620.456
    9Caliente de Durango913952559:6640.429
    10Aguascalientes883751568:6500.420


    South Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Diablos Rojos876225676:5030.713
    2Oaxaca905139660:5460.567
    3Campeche884543492:4820.511
    4Puebla894445571:5790.494
    5Veracruz904347519:5440.478
    6Tabasco904149479:5260.456
    7Bravos de Leon894049589:6410.449
    8Yucatan904050533:5710.444
    9Queretaro883553556:6900.398
    10Quintana Roo913556469:5390.385

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