Calvin Hemery vs Ryan Nijboer – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
04/03/2026 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
25
Double Faults
13
1st serve percentage
77%56%
1st serve points won
86% (31/36)75% (36/48)
2nd serve points won
82% (9/11)39% (15/38)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/0)86% (12/14)
1st return points won
25% (12/48)14% (5/36)
2nd return points won
61% (23/38)18% (2/11)
Break Points Converted
14% (2/14)0% (0/0)
Winners
1419
Unforced errors
1632
Net points won
69% (9/13)71% (5/7)
Service Points Won
85% (40/47)59% (51/86)
Return Points Won
41% (35/86)15% (7/47)
Total Points Won
56% (75/133)44% (58/133)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
00
Service games won
100% (10/10)80% (8/10)
Return games won
20% (2/10)0% (0/10)
Total games won
60% (12/20)40% (8/20)

Chances of winning


Calvin Hemery
65.1%
Ryan Nijboer
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
69.1% 30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71% 29%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Calvin Hemery has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • Ryan Nijboer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Calvin Hemery than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Calvin Hemery, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryan Nijboer than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ryan Nijboer, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Calvin Hemery - Ryan Nijboer Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.42
    (1.34)

    2.67
    (3)
    7.9%
    (8%)
    What is the prediction for Calvin Hemery - Ryan Nijboer?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.5 Sets - Nijboer (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nijboer (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Hemery is ranked ATP: 316. Nijboer is ranked ATP: 524.
    • Recent performances by Hemery have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Nijboer is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Hemery may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Hemery is a strong favorite.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Calvin Hemery
    Latest results of Ryan Nijboer
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Johns G.2 : 1
    2Bax F.Pennaforti G. (WC)2 : 0
    3Erhard M.Schwaerzler J. J.0 : 2
    4Cuenin S.Kolar Z. (7)0 : 2
    5Carballes Baena R. (4)Kopp S.0 : 2
    6Cecchinato M.Ouakaa A. (WC)2 : 0
    7Ionel N. D. (Q)De Krom M. (Q)1 : 2
    8Pieri S. (Q)Kym J. (5)1 : 2
    9Pavlovic L. (8)Martin Tiffon P.2 : 0
    10Coulibaly E.Bouchelaghem C. (WC)2 : 0
    11Napolitano S. (Q)Denolly C.2 : 0
    12Forejtek J.Mikrut L. (3)0 : 2
    13Clarke J. (6)Hemery C.1 : 2
    14Houkes M.Nijboer R. (Q)0 : 2
    15Martin A.Jianu F. C.0 : 2
    16Dalla Valle E. (Q)Gea A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Bax F.2 : 0
    2Schwaerzler J. J.Kolar Z. (7)2 : 1
    3Kopp S.Cecchinato M.1 : 2
    4De Krom M.Kym J. (5)0 : 2
    5Pavlovic L. (8)Coulibaly E.2 : 0
    6Napolitano S.Mikrut L. (RET.) (3)1 : 1
    7Hemery C.Nijboer R.2 : 0
    8Jianu F. C.Gea A. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Schwaerzler J. J.1 : 2
    2Cecchinato M.Kym J. (RET.) (5)0 : 1
    3Pavlovic L. (8)Napolitano S.0 : 2
    4Hemery C.Gea A. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Schwaerzler J. J.Cecchinato M.2 : 0
    2Napolitano S.Gea A. (2)2 : 1

    Final
    1Schwaerzler J. J.Napolitano S.2 : 0