Cambrian United vs Caerau Ely – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
13/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Cymru South - Round 22

Match Stats

Yellow cards
10
Red cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 31', 1 - 0, Eason L. ,
  • 42', 2 - 0, Bonthron A. ,
  • 45+1', 3 - 0, Jones K. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 55', Evans A. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Cambrian United
56.4%
Draw
23.2%
Caerau Ely
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.9% 22.6% 17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6% 21.6% 16.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cambrian United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • Caerau Ely has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cambrian United than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cambrian United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caerau Ely than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
  • Cambrian United - Caerau Ely Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (1.49)
    3.91
    (3.94)
    4.46
    (5.1)
    10%
    (12.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier).
    • Cambrian United has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • In recent matches, Caerau has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Cambrian United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Cambrian United is the team to beat.
    • We predict that Cambrian United will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cambrian United won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 2.4:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cambrian United won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cambrian United - Caerau Ely were as follows:
    07.11.2025 Caerau Ely - Cambrian United 2:3
    12.04.2025 Caerau Ely - Cambrian United 0:2
    25.10.2024 Cambrian United - Caerau Ely 2:2
    16.03.2024 Cambrian United - Caerau Ely 2:2
    Latest results of Cambrian United
    Latest results of Caerau Ely
    07.02.2026 Caerau Ely - Ammanford 3:1
    31.01.2026 Bangor 1876 - Caerau Ely 3:1
    16.01.2026 Caerau Ely - Trefelin 1:2
    09.01.2026 Newport City - Caerau Ely 1:1
    Welsh Cymru South Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Trefelin22183150:104057
    2Cambrian United22182256:164056
    3Ammanford23118432:211141
    4Caerau Ely23124748:321640
    5Aberystwyth23123829:26339
    6Carmarthen Town24811529:27235
    7Newport City23810532:29334
    8Cardiff Draconians21102932:27532
    9Llantwit Major2269727:28-127
    10Treowen2075833:37-426
    11Pontypridd22741133:34-125
    12Baglan Dragons22481022:31-920
    13Trethomas Bluebirds23481129:45-1620
    14Afan Lido23531520:43-2318
    15Ynyshir Albions23351517:47-3014
    16Cwmbran Celtic20051514:50-365

          Promotion ~ Cymru Premier
          Relegation