Result
0:2
21/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 34
- Referee: Sandoe L. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.80 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 33% | 67% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 57% (146/255) | 80% (416/517) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.57 | 0.80 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.18 | 1.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 57% (146/255) | 80% (416/517) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (20/67) | 52% (43/83) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 45% (38/85) | 73% (158/216) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (1/10) | 23% (6/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.24 | 1.14 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 28 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (10/18) | 75% (6/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.99 | 0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 13', Mpanzu P. 🟨,
- 18', Davies T. ↓, Driscoll-Glennon A. ↑,
- 41', Lloyd B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Thomas J. ↓, Jarvis C. ↑,
- 50', Sprangler S. 🟨,
- 56', Ball D. 🟨,
- 58', Baker-Richardson C. ↓, Spellman M. ↑,
- 62', Mpanzu P. ↓, Kaikai S. ↑,
- 62', Appere L. ↓, Lavery S. ↑,
- 62', McLoughlin S. ↓, Smith K. ↑,
- 71', Crole J. ↓, Opoku N. ↑,
- 72', Lloyd B. ↓, Garner G. ↑,
- 73', 0 - 1, Bennett L. ⚽, Gibbons J. (A),
- 76', 0 - 2, Kaikai S. ⚽,
- 80', Knight B. ↓, Purrington B. ↑,
- 89', Brophy J. ↓, Nevitt E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Newport County
16.7% | Draw
24.6% | Cambridge United
58.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newport County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Newport County's form might have worsened.Cambridge United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cambridge United's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newport County than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Newport County, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambridge United than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cambridge United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Newport County - Cambridge United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.55 ↑
(4.03) |
3.8 ↑
(3.48) |
1.59 ↓
(1.8) |
7.2%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Newport County - Cambridge United?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Newport will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Cambridge will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newport won 1.
- Newport has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Cambridge is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Recently, Newport has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Cambridge is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Newport: Brennan C.
(Inactive)
Smith M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Cambridge: Kouassi K.
(Hamstring Injury)
Mayor A.
(Inactive)
Morrison M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Cambridge: Ball D.
(Inactive)
Bradshaw Z.
(Inactive)
Hoddle G.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Newport won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 29:27. (average 1.5:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Newport won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:11. (average 1.7:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Newport County won against Cambridge United?
Newport County has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cambridge United won against Newport County?
Cambridge United has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Newport County - Cambridge United were as follows:
30.08.2025
Cambridge United
-
Newport County
2:0
Latest results of Newport County
Latest results of Cambridge United
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 43 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 68:43 | 25 | 83 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 43 | 22 | 13 | 8 | 79:43 | 36 | 79 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 42 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 62:31 | 31 | 77 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 43 | 23 | 7 | 13 | 71:49 | 22 | 76 |
| 5 | Swindon | 43 | 22 | 8 | 13 | 67:51 | 16 | 74 |
| 6 | Salford | 43 | 23 | 5 | 15 | 57:50 | 7 | 74 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 42 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 64:53 | 11 | 69 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 41 | 19 | 11 | 11 | 62:45 | 17 | 68 |
| 9 | Barnet | 43 | 18 | 13 | 12 | 60:49 | 11 | 67 |
| 10 | Crewe | 43 | 19 | 9 | 15 | 63:53 | 10 | 66 |
| 11 | Oldham | 42 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 52:36 | 16 | 65 |
| 12 | Walsall | 43 | 17 | 11 | 15 | 52:50 | 2 | 62 |
| 13 | Colchester | 42 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 56:45 | 11 | 60 |
| 14 | Fleetwood | 43 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 53:54 | -1 | 58 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 43 | 17 | 4 | 22 | 49:63 | -14 | 55 |
| 16 | Accrington | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 41:48 | -7 | 51 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 48:60 | -12 | 50 |
| 18 | Shrewsbury | 43 | 13 | 8 | 22 | 40:66 | -26 | 47 |
| 19 | Cheltenham | 41 | 12 | 10 | 19 | 48:67 | -19 | 46 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 42 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 49:72 | -23 | 37 |
| 21 | Crawley | 43 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 41:65 | -24 | 37 |
| 22 | Newport | 43 | 10 | 7 | 26 | 43:73 | -30 | 37 |
| 23 | Barrow | 42 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 40:68 | -28 | 33 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 43 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 35:66 | -31 | 33 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
