Learner Tien vs Cameron Norrie – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

06/10/2025 at 06:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats


Aces
4	3
Double Faults
4	1
1st Serve Percentage
62%	71%
1st Serve Points Won
74% (34/46)	67% (34/51)
2nd Serve Points Won
46% (13/28)	19% (4/21)
Break Points Saved
80% (8/10)	33% (2/6)
1st Return Points Won
35% (18/51)	26% (12/46)
2nd Return Points Won
81% (17/21)	54% (15/28)
Break Points Converted
67% (4/6)	20% (2/10)
Winners
28	15
Unforced Errors
13	10
Net Points Won
77% (10/13)	61% (14/23)
Service Points Won
64% (47/74)	55% (38/69)
Return Points Won
45% (31/69)	36% (27/74)
Total Points Won
55% (78/143)	45% (65/143)
Last 10 Balls
7	3
Match Points Saved
0	0
Service Games Won
80% (8/10)	64% (7/11)
Return Games Won
36% (4/11)	20% (2/10)
Total Games Won
57% (12/21)	43% (9/21)

Chances of winning

Learner Tien
54.5%

Cameron Norrie
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Learner Tien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Cameron Norrie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Learner Tien than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cameron Norrie than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Learner Tien - Cameron Norrie Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.78)		2.09 ↑ (1.88)	5.1% (9.4%)

What is the prediction for Learner Tien - Cameron Norrie?

Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Tien will win (votes: 28 - 62.2%). Norrie will win (votes: 17 - 37.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tien: 48% – 76.4%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Learner Tien will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

Tien is ranked ATP: 36. Norrie is ranked ATP: 33.
Tien is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Norrie's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Norrie may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Tien won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Learner Tien won against Cameron Norrie?

Learner Tien has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Cameron Norrie won against Learner Tien?

Cameron Norrie has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Learner Tien - Cameron Norrie were as follows:

24.02.2025 Learner Tien - Cameron Norrie 2:0

30.12.2024 Cameron Norrie - Learner Tien 2:0

Latest results of Learner Tien

04.10.2025 Corentin Moutet - Learner Tien 1:2 ✺

03.10.2025 Learner Tien - Miomir Kecmanovic 2:1 ✺

01.10.2025 Jannik Sinner - Learner Tien 2:0 ✺

30.09.2025 Learner Tien - Daniil Medvedev Medvedev D. retired ✺

29.09.2025 Learner Tien - Lorenzo Musetti Musetti L. retired ✺

Latest results of Cameron Norrie

04.10.2025 Arthur Cazaux - Cameron Norrie 1:2 ✺

26.09.2025 Daniil Medvedev - Cameron Norrie 2:0 ✺

17.09.2025 Cameron Norrie - Yi Zhou 1:2 ✺

13.09.2025 Olaf Pieczkowski - Cameron Norrie 0:2 ✺

12.09.2025 Tomasz Berkieta - Cameron Norrie 0:2 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Moutet C. (33)	Bye
2	Tien L.	Kecmanovic M.	2 : 1
3	Cazaux A.	Martinez P.	2 : 1
4	Bye	Norrie C. (30)
5	Davidovich Fokina A. (18)	Bye
6	Arnaldi M.	Sakamoto R. (Q)	2 : 0
7	Wu Y. (RET.) (WC)	Svrcina D. (Q)	0 : 1
8	Bye	Medvedev D. (16)
9	Khachanov K. (9)	Bye
10	Kovacevic A.	Shang J. (WC)	1 : 2
11	Van De Zandschulp B.	Borges N.	0 : 2
12	Bye	Vukic A. (LL)
13	Nakashima B. (29)	Bye
14	Majchrzak K.	Quinn E.	2 : 0
15	Ugo Carabelli C.	Atmane T. (RET.)	0 : 0
16	Bye	De Minaur A. (7)
17	Zverev A. (3)	Bye
18	Royer V. (Q)	Navone M.	2 : 1
19	Rinderknech A.	Medjedovic H. (RET.)	0 : 1
20	Bye	Michelsen A. (28)
21	Shapovalov D. (23)	Bye
22	Dzumhur D.	O'Connell C.	0 : 2
23	McDonald M. (LL)	Halys Q.	0 : 2
24	Bye	Lehecka J. (15)
25	Auger-Aliassime F. (12)	Bye
26	Giron M.	Tabilo A. (Q)	0 : 2
27	Zhou Y. (WC)	De Jong J.	1 : 2
28	Bye	Mensik J. (17)
29	Darderi L. (26)	Bye
30	Bu Y.	Cerundolo J. M.	2 : 1
31	Comesana F.	Blanchet U. (Q)	2 : 0
32	Bye	Musetti L. (8)
33	Shelton B. (6)	Bye
34	Goffin D.	Muller A.	2 : 1
35	Opelka R.	Bonzi B.	0 : 2
36	Bye	Diallo G. (31)
37	Cerundolo F. (19)	Bye
38	Mannarino A.	Berrettini M.	2 : 0
39	Korda S.	Bergs Z.	0 : 2
40	Bye	Ruud C. (11)
41	Rublev A. (13)	Bye
42	Nishioka Y. (Q)	Shevchenko A.	2 : 0
43	Munar J.	Fucsovics M.	2 : 1
44	Bye	Cobolli F. (22)
45	Tiafoe F. (25)	Bye
46	Sonego L.	Hanfmann Y. (Q)	1 : 2
47	Cilic M.	Basilashvili N. (Q)	2 : 0
48	Bye	Djokovic N. (4)
49	Fritz T. (5)	Bye
50	Marozsan F.	Wawrinka S. (WC)	2 : 1
51	Ofner S. (PR)	Nardi L.	1 : 2
52	Bye	Mpetshi Perricard G. (32)
53	Humbert U. (21)	Bye
54	Thompson J.	Holmgren A. (Q)	2 : 1
55	Zhang Z. (WC)	Baez S.	1 : 2
56	Bye	Rune H. (10)
57	Bublik A. (14)	Bye
58	Djere L.	Vacherot V. (Q)	0 : 2
59	Walton A.	Bellucci M.	0 : 2
60	Bye	Machac T. (20)
61	Griekspoor T. (27)	Bye
62	Brooksby J. (PR)	Trotter J. K. (Q)	2 : 0
63	Schoolkate T. (Q)	Altmaier D.	0 : 2
64	Bye	Sinner J. (2)

1/32-finals

1	Moutet C. (33)	Tien L.	1 : 2
2	Cazaux A.	Norrie C. (30)	1 : 2
3	Davidovich Fokina A. (18)	Arnaldi M.	2 : 0
4	Svrcina D.	Medvedev D. (16)	0 : 2
5	Khachanov K. (9)	Shang J.	0 : 2
6	Borges N.	Vukic A.	2 : 0
7	Nakashima B. (29)	Majchrzak K.	0 : 2
8	Ugo Carabelli C.	De Minaur A. (7)	0 : 2
9	Zverev A. (3)	Royer V.	2 : 0
10	Rinderknech A.	Michelsen A. (28)	2 : 0
11	Shapovalov D. (23)	O'Connell C.	2 : 0
12	Halys Q.	Lehecka J. (15)	0 : 2
13	Auger-Aliassime F. (12)	Tabilo A.	2 : 0
14	De Jong J.	Mensik J. (17)	2 : 1
15	Darderi L. (26)	Bu Y.	2 : 0
16	Comesana F.	Musetti L. (8)	0 : 2
17	Shelton B. (6)	Goffin D.	0 : 2
18	Bonzi B.	Diallo G. (31)	0 : 2
19	Cerundolo F. (19)	Mannarino A.	2 : 0
20	Bergs Z.	Ruud C. (RET.) (11)	1 : 1
21	Rublev A. (13)	Nishioka Y.	1 : 2
22	Munar J.	Cobolli F. (22)	2 : 0
23	Tiafoe F. (25)	Hanfmann Y.	1 : 2
24	Cilic M.	Djokovic N. (4)	0 : 2
25	Fritz T. (5)	Marozsan F.	2 : 1
26	Nardi L.	Mpetshi Perricard G. (32)	0 : 2
27	Humbert U. (21)	Thompson J.	2 : 0
28	Baez S.	Rune H. (10)	0 : 2
29	Bublik A. (14)	Vacherot V.	1 : 2
30	Bellucci M.	Machac T. (20)	0 : 2
31	Griekspoor T. (27)	Brooksby J.	2 : 1
32	Altmaier D.	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

1/16-finals

1	Tien L.	Norrie C. (30)	2 : 0
2	Davidovich Fokina A. (18)	Medvedev D. (16)	0 : 2
3	Shang J.	Borges N.	1 : 2
4	Majchrzak K.	De Minaur A. (7)	0 : 2
5	Zverev A. (3)	Rinderknech A.	1 : 2
6	Shapovalov D. (23)	Lehecka J. (15)	0 : 2
7	Auger-Aliassime F. (12)	De Jong J.	2 : 0
8	Darderi L. (26)	Musetti L. (8)	0 : 2
9	Goffin D. (RET.)	Diallo G. (31)	0 : 0
10	Cerundolo F. (19)	Bergs Z.	0 : 2
11	Nishioka Y.	Munar J.	1 : 2
12	Hanfmann Y.	Djokovic N. (4)	1 : 2
13	Fritz T. (5)	Mpetshi Perricard G. (32)	0 : 2
14	Humbert U. (21)	Rune H. (10)	0 : 2
15	Vacherot V.	Machac T. (RET.) (20)	1 : 0
16	Griekspoor T. (27)	Sinner J. (RET.) (2)	1 : 1

1/8-finals

1	Tien L.	Medvedev D. (16)	1 : 2
2	Borges N.	De Minaur A. (7)	0 : 2
3	Rinderknech A.	Lehecka J. (15)	2 : 0
4	Auger-Aliassime F. (12)	Musetti L. (8)	2 : 0
5	Diallo G. (31)	Bergs Z.	1 : 2
6	Munar J.	Djokovic N. (4)	1 : 2
7	Mpetshi Perricard G. (32)	Rune H. (10)	1 : 2
8	Vacherot V.	Griekspoor T. (27)	2 : 1

Quarter-finals

1	Medvedev D. (16)	De Minaur A. (7)	2 : 0
2	Rinderknech A.	Auger-Aliassime F. (12)	2 : 0
3	Bergs Z.	Djokovic N. (4)	0 : 2
4	Rune H. (10)	Vacherot V.	1 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Medvedev D. (16)	Rinderknech A.	1 : 2
2	Djokovic N. (4)	Vacherot V.	0 : 2

Final

1

Rinderknech A.

Vacherot V.

1 : 2