Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Botic Van De Zandschulp – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Bastad Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Botic Van De Zandschulp
Result
2:1
17/07/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Bastad, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
83
Double Faults
20
1st Serve Percentage
71%66%
1st Serve Points Won
67% (59/88)74% (46/62)
2nd Serve Points Won
50% (18/36)50% (16/32)
Break Points Saved
85% (11/13)50% (2/4)
1st Return Points Won
31% (19/62)33% (29/88)
2nd Return Points Won
50% (16/32)50% (18/36)
Break Points Converted
50% (2/4)15% (2/13)
Winners
2940
Unforced Errors
3246
Net Points Won
75% (9/12)74% (17/23)
Service Points Won
62% (77/124)66% (63/95)
Return Points Won
34% (32/95)38% (47/124)
Total Points Won
50% (109/219)50% (110/219)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
88% (15/17)88% (14/16)
Return Games Won
13% (2/16)12% (2/17)
Total Games Won
52% (17/33)48% (16/33)

Chances of winning


Camilo Ugo Carabelli
47.8%
Botic Van De Zandschulp
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.3% 44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3% 40.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Camilo Ugo Carabelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Camilo Ugo Carabelli's form might have worsened.
  • Botic Van De Zandschulp has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Botic Van De Zandschulp's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (+11.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Camilo Ugo Carabelli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botic Van De Zandschulp than the current prediction. (-11.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Botic Van De Zandschulp, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Botic Van De Zandschulp Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2
    (1.72)

    1.83
    (2.13)
    4.8%
    (5.1%)
    What is the prediction for Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Botic Van De Zandschulp?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Ugo Carabelli will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Van De Zandschulp will win (votes: 5 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ugo Carabelli: 19%81%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Ugo Carabelli (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Van De Zandschulp (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 59. Van De Zandschulp is ranked ATP: 100.
    • Ugo Carabelli is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Van De Zandschulp has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Van De Zandschulp may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Bye
    2Barrios Vera T.Navone M.0 : 2
    3Gaston H.Tseng C. H.2 : 0
    4Ofner S.Dzumhur D. (7)0 : 2
    5Baez S. (4)Bye
    6Monteiro T. (Q)Budkov Kjaer N. (Q)1 : 2
    7Ymer E. (WC)Boyer T.2 : 1
    8Collignon R.Darderi L. (6)1 : 2
    9Ugo Carabelli C. (5)Garin C.2 : 0
    10Ymer M. (WC)Van De Zandschulp B.0 : 2
    11Misolic F. (Q)Moller E.2 : 1
    12ByeBorges N. (3)
    13Kopriva V. (8)Dellien H. (RET.)1 : 0
    14Rejchtman Vinciguerra W. (WC)De Jong J.0 : 2
    15Pellegrino A. (Q)Faria J.2 : 1
    16ByeGriekspoor T. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Navone M.2 : 0
    2Gaston H.Dzumhur D. (7)1 : 2
    3Baez S. (4)Budkov Kjaer N.2 : 1
    4Ymer E.Darderi L. (6)0 : 2
    5Ugo Carabelli C. (5)Van De Zandschulp B.2 : 1
    6Misolic F.Borges N. (3)2 : 1
    7Kopriva V. (8)De Jong J.0 : 2
    8Pellegrino A.Griekspoor T. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Dzumhur D. (7)2 : 1
    2Baez S. (4)Darderi L. (6)0 : 2
    3Ugo Carabelli C. (5)Misolic F.2 : 0
    4De Jong J.Griekspoor T. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Darderi L. (6)1 : 2
    2Ugo Carabelli C. (5)De Jong J.0 : 2

    Final
    1Darderi L. (6)De Jong J.2 : 1