Result
2:0
16/07/2025 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Bastad, clay - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 65% | 66% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 59% (27/46) | 58% (32/55) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (12/25) | 36% (10/28) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 64% (9/14) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 42% (23/55) | 41% (19/46) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 64% (18/28) | 52% (13/25) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 36% (5/14) | 25% (3/12) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 24 | 40 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 71% (5/7) | 50% (8/16) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 55% (39/71) | 51% (42/83) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 49% (41/83) | 45% (32/71) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (80/154) | 48% (74/154) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 50% (5/10) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 30% (3/10) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 60% (12/20) | 40% (8/20) |
Chances of winning
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
42.1% | Christian Garin
57.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Camilo Ugo Carabelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Camilo Ugo Carabelli's form might have worsened.Christian Garin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Christian Garin's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (+16.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Camilo Ugo Carabelli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Christian Garin than the current prediction. (-16.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Christian Garin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Christian Garin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.23 ↑
(1.58) |
|
1.63 ↓
(2.37) |
6.3%
(5.6%) | |
What is the prediction for Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Christian Garin?
Users Predictions:
Christian Garin will win
(28 of 35 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.75% – 93.25%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Christian Garin will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 56. Garin is ranked ATP: 110.
- Ugo Carabelli is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Garin has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Ugo Carabelli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
- The players have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Camilo Ugo Carabelli won against Christian Garin?
Camilo Ugo Carabelli has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Christian Garin won against Camilo Ugo Carabelli?
Christian Garin has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Christian Garin were as follows:
Latest results of Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Latest results of Christian Garin
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Cerundolo F. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Barrios Vera T. | Navone M. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Gaston H. | Tseng C. H. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Ofner S. | Dzumhur D. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Baez S. (4) | Bye | |
| 6 | Monteiro T. (Q) | Budkov Kjaer N. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Ymer E. (WC) | Boyer T. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Collignon R. | Darderi L. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Ugo Carabelli C. (5) | Garin C. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Ymer M. (WC) | Van De Zandschulp B. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Misolic F. (Q) | Moller E. | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Bye | Borges N. (3) | |
| 13 | Kopriva V. (8) | Dellien H. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 14 | Rejchtman Vinciguerra W. (WC) | De Jong J. | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Pellegrino A. (Q) | Faria J. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Bye | Griekspoor T. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Cerundolo F. (1) | Navone M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Gaston H. | Dzumhur D. (7) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Baez S. (4) | Budkov Kjaer N. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Ymer E. | Darderi L. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Ugo Carabelli C. (5) | Van De Zandschulp B. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Misolic F. | Borges N. (3) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Kopriva V. (8) | De Jong J. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Pellegrino A. | Griekspoor T. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Cerundolo F. (1) | Dzumhur D. (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Baez S. (4) | Darderi L. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Ugo Carabelli C. (5) | Misolic F. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | De Jong J. | Griekspoor T. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Cerundolo F. (1) | Darderi L. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Ugo Carabelli C. (5) | De Jong J. | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Darderi L. (6) | De Jong J. | 2 : 1 |
