Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Francisco Comesana – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
10/02/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Buenos Aires, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
12
Double Faults
24
1st serve percentage
69%71%
1st serve points won
63% (36/57)70% (32/46)
2nd serve points won
54% (14/26)42% (8/19)
Break Points Saved
71% (5/7)25% (1/4)
1st return points won
33% (15/46)39% (22/57)
2nd return points won
58% (11/19)46% (12/26)
Break Points Converted
75% (3/4)29% (2/7)
Winners
2029
Unforced errors
2138
Net points won
89% (8/9)68% (17/25)
Service Points Won
60% (49/82)60% (39/65)
Return Points Won
40% (26/65)40% (33/82)
Total Points Won
51% (75/147)49% (72/147)
Last 10 balls
73
Match points saved
00
Service games won
82% (9/11)73% (8/11)
Return games won
27% (3/11)18% (2/11)
Total games won
55% (12/22)45% (10/22)

Chances of winning


Camilo Ugo Carabelli
54.2%
Francisco Comesana
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.7% 60.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3% 57.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Camilo Ugo Carabelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Camilo Ugo Carabelli's performance.
  • Francisco Comesana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Francisco Comesana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (-11.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Camilo Ugo Carabelli that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francisco Comesana than the current prediction. (+11.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Francisco Comesana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Francisco Comesana Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (2.38)

    2.07
    (1.57)
    5.4%
    (5.7%)
    What is the prediction for Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Francisco Comesana?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 Games - Ugo Carabelli (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +1.5 Sets - Ugo Carabelli (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Camilo Ugo Carabelli will win (28 of 35 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 66.75%93.25%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Camilo Ugo Carabelli will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 18 high ROI users predict this event. Ugo Carabelli (votes: 17 - 94.4%). Comesana (votes: 1 - 5.6%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 48. Comesana is ranked ATP: 64.
    • Ugo Carabelli is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Comesana has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Ugo Carabelli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Francisco Comesana
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Bye
    2Dzumhur D.Dellien H. (Q)0 : 2
    3Barrena A. (WC)Kopriva V.1 : 2
    4Coria F. (WC)Berrettini M. (8)0 : 2
    5Fonseca J. (3)Bye
    6Diaz Acosta F. (WC)Tabilo A.0 : 2
    7Burruchaga R. A.Djere L.2 : 0
    8Pellegrino A. (Q)Etcheverry T. M. (7)0 : 2
    9Ugo Carabelli C. (6)Comesana F.2 : 0
    10Navone M.Nava E.2 : 0
    11Buse I.Passaro F. (Q)2 : 1
    12ByeBaez S. (4)
    13Altmaier D. (5)Cerundolo J. M.0 : 2
    14Midon L. (Q)Martinez P.0 : 2
    15Barrios Vera T.Seyboth Wild T. (RET.) (LL)0 : 1
    16ByeDarderi L. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Dellien H.2 : 0
    2Kopriva V.Berrettini M. (8)2 : 0
    3Fonseca J. (3)Tabilo A.1 : 2
    4Burruchaga R. A.Etcheverry T. M. (7)1 : 2
    5Ugo Carabelli C. (6)Navone M.2 : 0
    6Buse I.Baez S. (4)0 : 2
    7Cerundolo J. M.Martinez P.0 : 2
    8Barrios Vera T.Darderi L. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Kopriva V.2 : 0
    2Tabilo A.Etcheverry T. M. (7)1 : 2
    3Ugo Carabelli C. (6)Baez S. (4)0 : 2
    4Martinez P.Darderi L. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Etcheverry T. M. (7)2 : 0
    2Baez S. (4)Darderi L. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Darderi L. (2)2 : 0