Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Gustavo Heide – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Campinas Challenger Men Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Gustavo Heide
Result
2:1
15/10/2024 at 17:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Campinas (Brazil), clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
15
Double Faults
86
1st Serve Percentage
54%53%
1st Serve Points Won
66% (44/67)58% (32/55)
2nd Serve Points Won
50% (28/56)49% (24/49)
Break Points Saved
86% (19/22)54% (7/13)
1st Return Points Won
42% (23/55)34% (23/67)
2nd Return Points Won
51% (25/49)50% (28/56)
Break Points Converted
46% (6/13)14% (3/22)
Max Points In Row
710
Service Points Won
59% (72/123)54% (56/104)
Return Points Won
46% (48/104)41% (51/123)
Total Points Won
53% (120/227)47% (107/227)
Max Games In Row
44
Service Games Won
80% (12/15)57% (8/14)
Return Games Won
43% (6/14)20% (3/15)
Total Games Won
62% (18/29)38% (11/29)

Chances of winning


Camilo Ugo Carabelli
45.1%
Gustavo Heide
54.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.6% 44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2% 41.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Camilo Ugo Carabelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Camilo Ugo Carabelli's form might have worsened.
  • Gustavo Heide has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gustavo Heide's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (+13.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Camilo Ugo Carabelli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gustavo Heide than the current prediction. (-13.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gustavo Heide, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Gustavo Heide Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.09
    (1.67)

    1.7
    (2.1)
    6.9%
    (7.6%)
    What is the prediction for Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Gustavo Heide?
  • Users Predictions: Camilo Ugo Carabelli will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.92%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 112. Heide is ranked ATP: 188.
    • Ugo Carabelli in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Recent matches Heide is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Heide could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Gustavo Heide
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Barrios Vera T. (1)Ambrogi L. E.2 : 1
    2Olivo R.Reis Da Silva J.0 : 2
    3Boscardin Dias P.Ribeiro E. (WC)0 : 2
    4Bertola R.Couacaud E. (5)0 : 2
    5Varillas J. P. (4)Torres J. B.2 : 0
    6Mochizuki Y. (Q)Pucinelli de Almeida M.0 : 2
    7Sakamoto P.Monzon I. (Q)2 : 0
    8Nunez D. A. (Q)Bueno G. (8)1 : 2
    9Guillen Meza A. (7)Ribeiro de Almeida G. (WC)2 : 0
    10Kestelboim M. (Alt)Justo G. I.2 : 0
    11Prado Angelo J. C.Nesterov P.2 : 0
    12Pereira J. (Alt)Collarini A. (3)0 : 2
    13Soto M. (6)Villanueva G.2 : 0
    14Huertas Del Pino C. (Q)Albieri G. (WC)2 : 1
    15Camargo Lima E. (Q)Dutra Da Silva D.0 : 2
    16Jones M. (Q)Mena F. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Barrios Vera T. (1)Reis Da Silva J.2 : 1
    2Ribeiro E.Couacaud E. (5)2 : 0
    3Varillas J. P. (4)Pucinelli de Almeida M.2 : 1
    4Sakamoto P.Bueno G. (8)1 : 2
    5Guillen Meza A. (7)Kestelboim M.2 : 0
    6Prado Angelo J. C.Collarini A. (3)2 : 1
    7Soto M. (6)Huertas Del Pino C.2 : 1
    8Dutra Da Silva D.Mena F. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Barrios Vera T. (1)Ribeiro E.2 : 0
    2Varillas J. P. (4)Bueno G. (8)2 : 0
    3Guillen Meza A. (7)Prado Angelo J. C.2 : 1
    4Soto M. (6)Dutra Da Silva D.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Barrios Vera T. (1)Varillas J. P. (4)2 : 0
    2Guillen Meza A. (7)Soto M. (6)2 : 0

    Final
    1Barrios Vera T. (1)Guillen Meza A. (7)2 : 0