Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Hugo Gaston – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
05/04/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
03
Double Faults
03
1st Serve Percentage
72%52%
1st Serve Points Won
59% (20/34)52% (13/25)
2nd Serve Points Won
69% (9/13)30% (7/23)
Break Points Saved
33% (1/3)54% (7/13)
1st Return Points Won
48% (12/25)41% (14/34)
2nd Return Points Won
70% (16/23)31% (4/13)
Break Points Converted
46% (6/13)67% (2/3)
Winners
916
Unforced Errors
1731
Net Points Won
75% (3/4)44% (4/9)
Service Points Won
62% (29/47)42% (20/48)
Return Points Won
58% (28/48)38% (18/47)
Total Points Won
60% (57/95)40% (38/95)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
75% (6/8)25% (2/8)
Return Games Won
75% (6/8)25% (2/8)
Total Games Won
75% (12/16)25% (4/16)

Chances of winning


Camilo Ugo Carabelli
57.3%
Hugo Gaston
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.8% 40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7% 37.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Camilo Ugo Carabelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Hugo Gaston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Camilo Ugo Carabelli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hugo Gaston, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Hugo Gaston Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.53)

    2.18
    (2.28)
    7.4%
    (9.2%)
    What is the prediction for Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Hugo Gaston?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Ugo Carabelli will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Gaston will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ugo Carabelli: 35.9%97.5%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Camilo Ugo Carabelli will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 63. Gaston is ranked ATP: 84.
    • Two players are playing changeable.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Camilo Ugo Carabelli
    Latest results of Hugo Gaston
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/32-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bye
    2Baez S.Wawrinka S. (WC)2 : 0
    3Etcheverry T. M.Dimitrov G.2 : 1
    4Atmane T.Quinn E. (LL)2 : 0
    5Lehecka J. (11)Nava E. (Q)2 : 1
    6Fucsovics M.Tabilo A.0 : 2
    7Monfils G. (WC)Griekspoor T.2 : 1
    8ByeBublik A. (8)
    9Musetti L. (4)Bye
    10Vacherot V.Cerundolo J. M. (Q)2 : 1
    11Dzumhur D. (LL)Marozsan F.0 : 2
    12Hurkacz H. (PR)Darderi L. (15)2 : 1
    13Cobolli F. (10)Comesana F. (Q)2 : 1
    14Shapovalov D.Blockx A. (Q)1 : 2
    15Norrie C.Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (5)
    17Medvedev D. (7)Bye
    18Bautista-Agut R. (RET.) (LL)Berrettini M. (WC)0 : 0
    19Fonseca J.Diallo G.2 : 0
    20Rinderknech A.Khachanov K. (12)2 : 0
    21Rublev A. (13)Borges N.2 : 1
    22Bergs Z.Mannarino A.2 : 0
    23Garin C. (Q)Arnaldi M. (LL)2 : 0
    24ByeZverev A. (3)
    25Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Bye
    26Cilic M.Shevchenko A. (Q)2 : 0
    27Moutet C.Muller A. (Q)2 : 0
    28Popyrin A.Ruud C. (9)0 : 2
    29Cerundolo F. (16)Tsitsipas S.2 : 0
    30Altmaier D.Machac T.1 : 2
    31Kouame M. (WC)Humbert U.0 : 2
    32ByeSinner J. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Baez S.2 : 0
    2Etcheverry T. M.Atmane T.2 : 1
    3Lehecka J. (11)Tabilo A.2 : 1
    4Monfils G.Bublik A. (8)0 : 2
    5Musetti L. (4)Vacherot V.0 : 2
    6Marozsan F.Hurkacz H.0 : 2
    7Cobolli F. (10)Blockx A.0 : 2
    8Norrie C.De Minaur A. (5)1 : 2
    9Medvedev D. (7)Berrettini M.0 : 2
    10Fonseca J.Rinderknech A.2 : 1
    11Rublev A. (13)Bergs Z.0 : 2
    12Garin C.Zverev A. (3)1 : 2
    13Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Cilic M.2 : 0
    14Moutet C.Ruud C. (9)0 : 2
    15Cerundolo F. (16)Machac T.0 : 2
    16Humbert U.Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Etcheverry T. M.2 : 1
    2Lehecka J. (11)Bublik A. (8)0 : 2
    3Vacherot V.Hurkacz H.2 : 1
    4Blockx A.De Minaur A. (5)0 : 2
    5Berrettini M.Fonseca J.0 : 2
    6Bergs Z.Zverev A. (3)0 : 2
    7Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Ruud C. (RET.) (9)1 : 0
    8Machac T.Sinner J. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bublik A. (8)2 : 0
    2Vacherot V.De Minaur A. (5)2 : 1
    3Fonseca J.Zverev A. (3)1 : 2
    4Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Vacherot V.2 : 0
    2Zverev A. (3)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Sinner J. (2)0 : 2