Result
0:2
19/07/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Bastad, clay - Semi-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | beIN Sports 1 |
 Czech-republic | Premier Sport 2 |
 Denmark | TV2 Play, TV2 Sport |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 4 |
 Sweden | TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports Tennis, Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 58% | 59% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 68% (26/38) | 83% (34/41) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (13/27) | 45% (13/29) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 33% (1/3) | 0% (0/1) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 17% (7/41) | 32% (12/38) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 55% (16/29) | 52% (14/27) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 100% (1/1) | 67% (2/3) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 22 | 23 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 26 | 22 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 64% (9/14) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 61% (39/64) | 67% (47/70) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 33% (23/70) | 39% (25/64) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 46% (62/134) | 54% (72/134) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 80% (8/10) | 91% (10/11) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 9% (1/11) | 20% (2/10) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 43% (9/21) | 57% (12/21) |
Chances of winning
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
45.9% | Jesper De Jong
54.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Camilo Ugo Carabelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)Jesper De Jong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jesper De Jong than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Jesper De Jong Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.07 ↑
(1.83) |
|
1.77 ↓
(1.83) |
4.9%
(9.3%) | |
What is the prediction for Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Jesper De Jong?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Ugo Carabelli will win (votes: 11 - 50%). De Jong will win (votes: 11 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ugo Carabelli: 29.1% – 70.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Ugo Carabelli (votes: 2 - 66.7%). De Jong (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 59. De Jong is ranked ATP: 106.
- Recent performances by Ugo Carabelli have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- De Jong is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- De Jong may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ugo Carabelli won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Camilo Ugo Carabelli won against Jesper De Jong?
Camilo Ugo Carabelli has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jesper De Jong won against Camilo Ugo Carabelli?
Jesper De Jong has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Jesper De Jong were as follows:
13.10.2024
Jesper De Jong
-
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
1:2
11.01.2024
Jesper De Jong
-
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
2:1
19.01.2023
Jesper De Jong
-
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
0:2
12.01.2023
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
-
Jesper De Jong
0:2
Latest results of Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Latest results of Jesper De Jong
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Cerundolo F. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Barrios Vera T. | Navone M. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Gaston H. | Tseng C. H. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Ofner S. | Dzumhur D. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Baez S. (4) | Bye | |
| 6 | Monteiro T. (Q) | Budkov Kjaer N. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Ymer E. (WC) | Boyer T. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Collignon R. | Darderi L. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Ugo Carabelli C. (5) | Garin C. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Ymer M. (WC) | Van De Zandschulp B. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Misolic F. (Q) | Moller E. | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Bye | Borges N. (3) | |
| 13 | Kopriva V. (8) | Dellien H. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 14 | Rejchtman Vinciguerra W. (WC) | De Jong J. | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Pellegrino A. (Q) | Faria J. | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Bye | Griekspoor T. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Cerundolo F. (1) | Navone M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Gaston H. | Dzumhur D. (7) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Baez S. (4) | Budkov Kjaer N. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Ymer E. | Darderi L. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Ugo Carabelli C. (5) | Van De Zandschulp B. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Misolic F. | Borges N. (3) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Kopriva V. (8) | De Jong J. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Pellegrino A. | Griekspoor T. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Cerundolo F. (1) | Dzumhur D. (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Baez S. (4) | Darderi L. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Ugo Carabelli C. (5) | Misolic F. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | De Jong J. | Griekspoor T. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Cerundolo F. (1) | Darderi L. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Ugo Carabelli C. (5) | De Jong J. | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Darderi L. (6) | De Jong J. | 2 : 1 |
