Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Karen Khachanov – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
14/04/2026 at 07:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Barcelona, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
32
Double Faults
02
1st serve percentage
68%68%
1st serve points won
83% (30/36)67% (24/36)
2nd serve points won
71% (12/17)53% (9/17)
Break Points Saved
0/02/4
1st return points won
33% (12/36)17% (6/36)
2nd return points won
47% (8/17)29% (5/17)
Break Points Converted
2/40/0
Winners
1818
Unforced errors
1529
Net points won
75% (3/4)50% (4/8)
Service Points Won
78% (40/51)62% (33/53)
Return Points Won
38% (20/53)22% (11/51)
Total Points Won
58% (60/104)42% (44/104)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
00
Service games won
100% (10/10)78% (7/9)
Return games won
22% (2/9)0% (0/10)
Total games won
63% (12/19)37% (7/19)

Chances of winning


Camilo Ugo Carabelli
36.3%
Karen Khachanov
63.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.6% 65.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4% 69.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Camilo Ugo Carabelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • Karen Khachanov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Camilo Ugo Carabelli that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karen Khachanov than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Karen Khachanov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Karen Khachanov Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.62
    (2.73)

    1.49
    (1.44)
    5.1%
    (5.9%)
    Preview Facts
    • Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 63. Khachanov is ranked ATP: 14.
    • Recent performances by Ugo Carabelli have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Khachanov is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Khachanov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Khachanov will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Camilo Ugo Carabelli
    Latest results of Karen Khachanov
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Virtanen O. (Q)2 : 0
    2Machac T.Baez S.2 : 1
    3Martinez P. (Q)Sonego L.1 : 2
    4Navone M.Rublev A. (5)0 : 2
    5De Minaur A. (3)Ofner S. (Q)2 : 0
    6Trungelliti M. (LL)Medjedovic H. (Q)0 : 2
    7Borges N.Mannarino A.2 : 0
    8Etcheverry T. M.Draper J. (RET.) (8)1 : 1
    9Norrie C. (7)Wawrinka S. (WC)2 : 1
    10Opelka R.Quinn E. (Q)0 : 2
    11Munar J.Jodar R. (WC)0 : 2
    12Ugo Carabelli C.Khachanov K. (4)2 : 0
    13Fils A. (9)Atmane T.2 : 1
    14Nakashima B.Cerundolo J. M. (Q)2 : 0
    15Buse I.Moutet C.0 : 2
    16Landaluce M. (WC)Musetti L. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Machac T.
    2Sonego L.Rublev A. (5)
    3De Minaur A. (3)Medjedovic H.
    4Borges N.Etcheverry T. M.
    5Norrie C. (7)Quinn E.
    6Jodar R.Ugo Carabelli C.
    7Fils A. (9)Nakashima B.
    8Moutet C.Musetti L. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2