Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Karen Khachanov – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
14/04/2026 at 07:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Barcelona, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
32
Double Faults
02
1st serve percentage
68%68%
1st serve points won
83% (30/36)67% (24/36)
2nd serve points won
71% (12/17)53% (9/17)
Break Points Saved
0/02/4
1st return points won
33% (12/36)17% (6/36)
2nd return points won
47% (8/17)29% (5/17)
Break Points Converted
2/40/0
Winners
1818
Unforced errors
1529
Net points won
75% (3/4)50% (4/8)
Service Points Won
78% (40/51)62% (33/53)
Return Points Won
38% (20/53)22% (11/51)
Total Points Won
58% (60/104)42% (44/104)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
00
Service games won
100% (10/10)78% (7/9)
Return games won
22% (2/9)0% (0/10)
Total games won
63% (12/19)37% (7/19)

Chances of winning


Camilo Ugo Carabelli
36.3%
Karen Khachanov
63.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.6% 65.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4% 69.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Camilo Ugo Carabelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • Karen Khachanov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Camilo Ugo Carabelli that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karen Khachanov than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Karen Khachanov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Karen Khachanov Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.62
    (2.73)

    1.49
    (1.44)
    5.1%
    (5.9%)
    Preview Facts
    • Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 63. Khachanov is ranked ATP: 14.
    • Recent performances by Ugo Carabelli have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Khachanov is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Khachanov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Khachanov will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Camilo Ugo Carabelli
    Latest results of Karen Khachanov
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Virtanen O. (Q)2 : 0
    2Machac T.Baez S.2 : 1
    3Martinez P. (Q)Sonego L.1 : 2
    4Navone M.Rublev A. (5)0 : 2
    5De Minaur A. (3)Ofner S. (Q)2 : 0
    6Trungelliti M. (LL)Medjedovic H. (Q)0 : 2
    7Borges N.Mannarino A.2 : 0
    8Etcheverry T. M.Draper J. (RET.) (8)1 : 1
    9Norrie C. (7)Wawrinka S. (WC)2 : 1
    10Opelka R.Quinn E. (Q)0 : 2
    11Munar J.Jodar R. (WC)0 : 2
    12Ugo Carabelli C.Khachanov K. (4)2 : 0
    13Fils A. (9)Atmane T.2 : 1
    14Nakashima B.Cerundolo J. M. (Q)2 : 0
    15Buse I.Moutet C.0 : 2
    16Landaluce M. (WC)Musetti L. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Machac T. (WO.)
    2Sonego L.Rublev A. (5)0 : 2
    3De Minaur A. (3)Medjedovic H.0 : 2
    4Borges N.Etcheverry T. M.2 : 0
    5Norrie C. (7)Quinn E.2 : 1
    6Jodar R.Ugo Carabelli C.2 : 0
    7Fils A. (9)Nakashima B.2 : 0
    8Moutet C.Musetti L. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Machac T.Rublev A. (5)0 : 2
    2Medjedovic H.Borges N.2 : 0
    3Norrie C. (7)Jodar R.0 : 2
    4Fils A. (9)Musetti L. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Rublev A. (5)Medjedovic H.2 : 1
    2Jodar R.Fils A. (9)1 : 2

    Final
    1Rublev A. (5)Fils A. (9)0 : 2