Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Karue Sell – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Rio de Janeiro Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Karue Sell
Result
2:1
15/02/2025 at 16:10 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Rio de Janeiro (Brazil) - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
06
Double Faults
25
1st Serve Percentage
80%59%
1st Serve Points Won
74% (48/65)69% (40/58)
2nd Serve Points Won
56% (9/16)50% (20/40)
Break Points Saved
33% (1/3)50% (3/6)
1st Return Points Won
31% (18/58)26% (17/65)
2nd Return Points Won
50% (20/40)44% (7/16)
Break Points Converted
50% (3/6)67% (2/3)
Service Points Won
70% (57/81)61% (60/98)
Return Points Won
39% (38/98)30% (24/81)
Total Points Won
53% (95/179)47% (84/179)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
87% (13/15)80% (12/15)
Return Games Won
20% (3/15)13% (2/15)
Total Games Won
53% (16/30)47% (14/30)

Chances of winning


Camilo Ugo Carabelli
71.5%
Karue Sell
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.3% 37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65% 35%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Camilo Ugo Carabelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Camilo Ugo Carabelli's performance.
  • Karue Sell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Karue Sell might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Camilo Ugo Carabelli that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karue Sell than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Karue Sell could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Karue Sell Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.31
    (1.51)

    3.29
    (2.5)
    6.5%
    (6.2%)
    What is the prediction for Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Karue Sell?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Ugo Carabelli will win (votes: 14 - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Ugo Carabelli: 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 87. Sell is ranked ATP: 271.
    • Ugo Carabelli is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Sell is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Sell could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Ugo Carabelli will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Ugo Carabelli won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Karue Sell were as follows:
    17.10.2024 Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Karue Sell 2:1
    Latest results of Karue Sell
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Bu Y.2 : 0
    2Shevchenko A.Meligeni Alves F. (WC)2 : 0
    3Heide G. (WC)Comesana F.1 : 2
    4Cerundolo J. M. (Q)Jarry N. (6)1 : 2
    5Cerundolo F. (4)Gaston H.2 : 0
    6Darderi L.Dellien H. (RET.) (Q)1 : 0
    7Fonseca J. (SE)Muller A.0 : 2
    8Moutet C.Etcheverry T. M. (8)0 : 2
    9Baez S. (5)Burruchaga R. A. (LL)2 : 0
    10Navone M.Carballes Baena R.2 : 0
    11Diaz Acosta F.Monteiro T. (WC)1 : 2
    12Tseng C. H. (Q)Tabilo A. (3)2 : 0
    13Martinez P. (7)Ugo Carabelli C. (LL)1 : 2
    14Lajovic D.Dzumhur D.0 : 2
    15Munar J.Seyboth Wild T.2 : 1
    16Barrios Vera T. (Q)Faria J. (LL)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Shevchenko A.2 : 0
    2Comesana F.Jarry N. (6)2 : 1
    3Cerundolo F. (4)Darderi L.2 : 1
    4Muller A.Etcheverry T. M. (8)2 : 0
    5Baez S. (5)Navone M.2 : 1
    6Monteiro T.Tseng C. H.1 : 2
    7Ugo Carabelli C.Dzumhur D.2 : 0
    8Munar J.Faria J.1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Comesana F.1 : 2
    2Cerundolo F. (4)Muller A.0 : 2
    3Baez S. (5)Tseng C. H.2 : 0
    4Ugo Carabelli C.Faria J.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Comesana F.Muller A.1 : 2
    2Baez S. (5)Ugo Carabelli C.2 : 1

    Final
    1Muller A.Baez S. (5)0 : 2