Result
2:0
15/05/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Turin 2, clay - 1/8-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 70% | 52% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 68% (27/40) | 71% (22/31) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 59% (10/17) | 38% (11/29) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 80% (4/5) | 50% (4/8) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 32% (10/31) | 33% (13/40) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 62% (18/29) | 41% (7/17) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 20% (1/5) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 14 | 20 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 67% (4/6) | 93% (14/15) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 65% (37/57) | 53% (32/60) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 47% (28/60) | 35% (20/57) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 56% (65/117) | 44% (52/117) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 89% (8/9) | 56% (5/9) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 11% (1/9) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 33% (6/18) |
Chances of winning
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
58.7% | Luca Nardi
41.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Camilo Ugo Carabelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Camilo Ugo Carabelli's performance.Luca Nardi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luca Nardi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (-11%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Camilo Ugo Carabelli that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (+11%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luca Nardi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Luca Nardi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.59 ↓
(1.86) |
|
2.26 ↑
(1.86) |
7.1%
(7.6%) | |
What is the prediction for Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Luca Nardi?
Users Predictions:
Camilo Ugo Carabelli will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 60. Nardi is ranked ATP: 95.
- Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
- Nardi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Ugo Carabelli could have a small edge in this match.
- Recently, there has been no match between the players.
How many head-to-head matches has Camilo Ugo Carabelli won against Luca Nardi?
Camilo Ugo Carabelli has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Luca Nardi won against Camilo Ugo Carabelli?
Luca Nardi has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Luca Nardi were as follows:
Latest results of Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Latest results of Luca Nardi
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Cobolli F. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Collarini A. (Alt) | Huesler M. (Alt) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Cerundolo J. M. | Cina F. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Pellegrino A. (Q) | Altmaier D. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Etcheverry T. M. (3) | Bye | |
| 6 | Spizzirri E. | Sachko V. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Arnaboldi F. (Alt) | Quinn E. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Gigante M. (Alt) | Bublik A. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Ugo Carabelli C. (5) | Virtanen O. (Alt) | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Nardi L. | Navone M. | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Vasami J. (WC) | Tseng C. H. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Sanchez Jover C. (LL) | |
| 13 | Bu Y. (7) | Fonio G. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Prihodko O. (Q) | Fognini F. | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Gomez F. A. (Alt) | Passaro F. | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Darderi L. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Cobolli F. (1) | Collarini A. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Cerundolo J. M. | Altmaier D. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Etcheverry T. M. (3) | Sachko V. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Arnaboldi F. | Bublik A. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Ugo Carabelli C. (5) | Nardi L. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Tseng C. H. | Sanchez Jover C. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Bu Y. (7) | Fognini F. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Passaro F. | Darderi L. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Cobolli F. (1) | Altmaier D. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Etcheverry T. M. (3) | Bublik A. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Ugo Carabelli C. (5) | Tseng C. H. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Bu Y. (7) | Passaro F. (RET.) | 0 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Altmaier D. (6) | Bublik A. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Ugo Carabelli C. (5) | Bu Y. (7) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Bublik A. (8) | Bu Y. (7) | 2 : 0 |
