Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Martin Damm – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
04/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells, hard - 1/64-finals

Match Stats

Aces
89
Double Faults
52
1st serve percentage
60%62%
1st serve points won
84% (42/50)70% (31/44)
2nd serve points won
52% (17/33)59% (16/27)
Break Points Saved
100% (5/5)80% (4/5)
1st return points won
30% (13/44)16% (8/50)
2nd return points won
41% (11/27)48% (16/33)
Break Points Converted
20% (1/5)0% (0/5)
Winners
2034
Unforced errors
1545
Net points won
33% (1/3)65% (15/23)
Service Points Won
71% (59/83)67% (47/70)
Return Points Won
33% (23/70)29% (24/83)
Total Points Won
54% (82/153)46% (71/153)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
01
Service games won
100% (11/11)90% (9/10)
Return games won
10% (1/10)0% (0/11)
Total games won
57% (12/21)43% (9/21)

Chances of winning


Camilo Ugo Carabelli
37.6%
Martin Damm
62.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.8% 65.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4% 63.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Camilo Ugo Carabelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • Martin Damm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Martin Damm than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Martin Damm Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.53
    (2.68)

    1.52
    (1.43)
    5.3%
    (7.2%)
    What is the prediction for Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Martin Damm?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Ugo Carabelli will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). Damm will win (votes: 13 - 92.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Damm: 79.4%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1.5 Sets - Ugo Carabelli (1.55) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Martin Damm will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Ugo Carabelli (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Damm (votes: 8 - 88.9%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 67. Damm is ranked ATP: 129.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Ugo Carabelli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Damm could have a small edge in this match.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Martin Damm
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)Bye
    2Atmane T.Dimitrov G.
    3Cerundolo J. M.Van De Zandschulp B.
    4ByeRinderknech A. (26)
    5Vacherot V. (24)Bye
    6Borges N.Nava E.
    7Shevchenko A.Shimabukuro S. (Q)
    8ByeRuud C. (13)
    9Bublik A. (10)Bye
    10Zheng M. (WC)Cazaux A.
    11Maestrelli F. (Q)Hijikata R. (Q)
    12ByeDarderi L. (20)
    13Norrie C. (27)Bye
    14Arnaldi M.McDonald M. (Q)
    15Korda S.Comesana F.
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (6)
    17Djokovic N. (3)Bye
    18Majchrzak K.Mpetshi Perricard G.
    19Hurkacz H.Kovacevic A.
    20ByeMoutet C. (31)
    21Cerundolo F. (19)Bye
    22Royer V.Bonzi B. (Q)
    23Marozsan F.Bautista-Agut R.
    24ByeDraper J. (14)
    25Medvedev D. (11)Bye
    26Tabilo A.Jodar R. (WC)
    27Tseng C. H. (Q)Baez S.
    28ByeLehecka J. (22)
    29Humbert U. (32)Bye
    30Merida Aguilar D. (Q)Michelsen A.
    31Fearnley J.Dzumhur D.
    32ByeFritz T. (7)
    33Musetti L. (5)Bye
    34Fucsovics M.O'Connell C. (Q)2 : 0
    35Prizmic D. (Q)Schoolkate T. (Q)2 : 1
    36ByeFils A. (30)
    37Rublev A. (17)Bye
    38Bellucci M.Diallo G.0 : 2
    39Monfils G. (WC)Galarneau A. (Q)2 : 0
    40ByeAuger-Aliassime F. (9)
    41Cobolli F. (15)Bye
    42Altmaier D. (RET.)Kecmanovic M.0 : 1
    43Brooksby J.Popyrin A.2 : 0
    44ByeTiafoe F. (21)
    45Nakashima B. (28)Bye
    46Ugo Carabelli C.Damm M. (WC)2 : 0
    47Berrettini M.Mannarino A.2 : 1
    48ByeZverev A. (4)
    49Shelton B. (8)Bye
    50Opelka R.Quinn E.2 : 0
    51Halys Q.Walton A.0 : 2
    52ByeTien L. (25)
    53Davidovich Fokina A. (18)Bye
    54Svajda Z. (WC)Cilic M.
    55Navone M.Giron M.1 : 2
    56ByeMensik J. (12)
    57Khachanov K. (16)Bye
    58Fonseca J.Collignon R.
    59Bergs Z.Struff J-L.2 : 0
    60ByePaul T. (23)
    61Etcheverry T. M. (29)Bye
    62Tsitsipas S.Shapovalov D.
    63Svrcina D. (Q)Duckworth J.2 : 0
    64ByeSinner J. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Alcaraz C. (1)TBD #2
    2TBD #3Rinderknech A. (26)
    3Vacherot V. (24)TBD #6
    4TBD #7Ruud C. (13)
    5Bublik A. (10)TBD #10
    6TBD #11Darderi L. (20)
    7Norrie C. (27)TBD #14
    8TBD #15De Minaur A. (6)
    9Djokovic N. (3)TBD #18
    10TBD #19Moutet C. (31)
    11Cerundolo F. (19)TBD #22
    12TBD #23Draper J. (14)
    13Medvedev D. (11)TBD #26
    14TBD #27Lehecka J. (22)
    15Humbert U. (32)TBD #30
    16TBD #31Fritz T. (7)
    17Musetti L. (5)Fucsovics M.
    18Prizmic D.Fils A. (30)
    19Rublev A. (17)Diallo G.
    20Monfils G.Auger-Aliassime F. (9)
    21Cobolli F. (15)Kecmanovic M.
    22Brooksby J.Tiafoe F. (21)
    23Nakashima B. (28)Ugo Carabelli C.
    24Berrettini M.Zverev A. (4)
    25Shelton B. (8)Opelka R.
    26Walton A.Tien L. (25)
    27Davidovich Fokina A. (18)TBD #54
    28Giron M.Mensik J. (12)
    29Khachanov K. (16)TBD #58
    30Bergs Z.Paul T. (23)
    31Etcheverry T. M. (29)TBD #62
    32Svrcina D.Sinner J. (2)

    1/16-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16
    9TBD #17TBD #18
    10TBD #19TBD #20
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24
    13TBD #25TBD #26
    14TBD #27TBD #28
    15TBD #29TBD #30
    16TBD #31TBD #32

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2