Result
0:2
17/02/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: Rio de Janeiro, clay - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 51% | 70% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 59% (19/32) | 77% (34/44) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 61% (19/31) | 58% (11/19) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 0% (0/1) | 100% (3/3) |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 25% (11/44) | 41% (13/32) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 42% (8/19) | 42% (13/31) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 0% (0/3) | 100% (1/1) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 31 | 26 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 100% (3/3) | 75% (3/4) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 63% (34/54) | 71% (40/56) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 29% (16/56) | 37% (20/54) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 45% (50/110) | 55% (60/110) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 88% (7/8) | 100% (9/9) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 0% (0/9) | 13% (1/8) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 41% (7/17) | 59% (10/17) |
Chances of winning
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
54.4% | Roman Andres Burruchaga
45.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Camilo Ugo Carabelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Camilo Ugo Carabelli's form might have worsened.Roman Andres Burruchaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Roman Andres Burruchaga's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roman Andres Burruchaga than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Roman Andres Burruchaga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.74 ↑
(1.53) |
|
2.07 ↓
(2.49) |
5.6%
(5.6%) | |
What is the prediction for Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Roman Andres Burruchaga?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Ugo Carabelli will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Burruchaga will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ugo Carabelli: 25.1% – 83.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Ugo Carabelli (votes: 2 - 40%). Burruchaga (votes: 3 - 60%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 19.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 47. Burruchaga is ranked ATP: 104.
- Ugo Carabelli is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Burruchaga's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Ugo Carabelli may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Ugo Carabelli is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ugo Carabelli won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:2. (average 1.4:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Camilo Ugo Carabelli won against Roman Andres Burruchaga?
Camilo Ugo Carabelli has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Roman Andres Burruchaga won against Camilo Ugo Carabelli?
Roman Andres Burruchaga has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Roman Andres Burruchaga were as follows:
08.02.2026
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
-
Roman Andres Burruchaga
2:0
01.02.2025
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
-
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Ugo Carabelli C. retired
03.11.2023
Roman Andres Burruchaga
-
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
2:1
23.09.2023
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
-
Roman Andres Burruchaga
2:0
Latest results of Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Latest results of Roman Andres Burruchaga
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Cerundolo F. (1) | Navone M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Garin C. | Tirante T. A. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Tabilo A. | Nava E. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Prizmic D. (Q) | Passaro F. (LL) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Fonseca J. (3) | Monteiro T. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Marcondes I. (Q) | Buse I. | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Barrios Vera T. (LL) | Berrettini M. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Lajovic D. (LL) | Altmaier D. (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Etcheverry T. M. (8) | Comesana F. | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Miguel L. (WC) | Gaubas V. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Dzumhur D. | Martinez P. | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Faria J. (LL) | Baez S. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | Ugo Carabelli C. (5) | Burruchaga R. A. | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Heide G. (WC) | Kopriva V. | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Hanfmann Y. | Reis Da Silva J. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Cerundolo J. M. | Darderi L. (2) | 2 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Cerundolo F. (RET.) (1) | Tirante T. A. | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Tabilo A. | Passaro F. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Fonseca J. (3) | Buse I. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Berrettini M. | Lajovic D. | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Etcheverry T. M. (8) | Gaubas V. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Dzumhur D. | Faria J. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Burruchaga R. A. | Kopriva V. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Hanfmann Y. | Cerundolo J. M. | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Tirante T. A. | Tabilo A. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Buse I. | Berrettini M. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Etcheverry T. M. (8) | Faria J. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Kopriva V. | Cerundolo J. M. | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Tabilo A. | Buse I. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Etcheverry T. M. (8) | Kopriva V. | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Tabilo A. | Etcheverry T. M. (8) | 1 : 2 |
