Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Thiago Monteiro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
27/02/2025 at 16:55 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Santiago (Chile), clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
75
Double Faults
64
1st Serve Percentage
70%63%
1st Serve Points Won
85% (57/67)73% (48/66)
2nd Serve Points Won
31% (9/29)53% (20/38)
Break Points Saved
86% (6/7)75% (6/8)
1st Return Points Won
27% (18/66)15% (10/67)
2nd Return Points Won
47% (18/38)69% (20/29)
Break Points Converted
25% (2/8)14% (1/7)
Service Points Won
69% (66/96)65% (68/104)
Return Points Won
35% (36/104)31% (30/96)
Total Points Won
51% (102/200)49% (98/200)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
03
Service Games Won
93% (14/15)88% (14/16)
Return Games Won
13% (2/16)7% (1/15)
Total Games Won
52% (16/31)48% (15/31)

Chances of winning


Camilo Ugo Carabelli
49.9%
Thiago Monteiro
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5% 48.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Camilo Ugo Carabelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Thiago Monteiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Monteiro than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Thiago Monteiro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.9
    (1.9)

    1.89
    (1.9)
    5.7%
    (5.3%)
    What is the prediction for Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Thiago Monteiro?
  • Users Predictions: Camilo Ugo Carabelli will win (37 of 41 users predict this - 90.24%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 81.16%99.32%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 69. Monteiro is ranked ATP: 108.
    • Ugo Carabelli is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Monteiro is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Ugo Carabelli could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Ugo Carabelli won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4:4 (average 1.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Thiago Monteiro were as follows:
    09.03.2024 Thiago Monteiro - Camilo Ugo Carabelli 0:2
    17.11.2023 Thiago Monteiro - Camilo Ugo Carabelli 2:1
    08.10.2023 Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Thiago Monteiro 1:2
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Bye
    2Moller E.Burruchaga R. A.
    3Passaro F. (WC)Vallejo D. (Q)
    4Nava E.Berrettini M. (6)
    5Ugo Carabelli C. (4)Bye
    6Lajovic D.Hanfmann Y.0 : 2
    7Jarry N. (WC)Prizmic D. (Q)1 : 2
    8Soto M. (WC)Gaubas V. (LL)
    9Tabilo A. (8)Barrios Vera T.
    10Tirante T. A.Buse I.
    11Cerundolo J. M.Garin C.
    12ByeBaez S. (3)
    13Comesana F. (7)Martinez P.2 : 1
    14Pellegrino A. (Q)Barrena A. (Q)2 : 1
    15Navone M.Kopriva V.
    16ByeDarderi L. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3Ugo Carabelli C. (4)Hanfmann Y.
    4Prizmic D.TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11Baez S. (3)
    7Comesana F. (7)Pellegrino A.
    8TBD #15Darderi L. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2