Timofey Skatov vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
31/03/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Marrakech, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
912
Double Faults
12
1st serve percentage
62%68%
1st serve points won
69% (45/65)78% (54/69)
2nd serve points won
63% (25/40)44% (14/32)
Break Points Saved
5/82/3
1st return points won
22% (15/69)34% (22/65)
2nd return points won
56% (18/32)38% (15/40)
Break Points Converted
1/33/8
Winners
3031
Unforced errors
4835
Net points won
67% (10/15)71% (5/7)
Service Points Won
65% (68/105)68% (68/100)
Return Points Won
32% (32/100)35% (37/105)
Total Points Won
49% (100/205)51% (105/205)
Last 10 balls
37
Match points saved
00
Service games won
80% (12/15)94% (15/16)
Return games won
6% (1/16)20% (3/15)
Total games won
42% (13/31)58% (18/31)

Chances of winning


Timofey Skatov
30.1%
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
69.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.8% 59.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1% 56.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Timofey Skatov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Timofey Skatov's form might have worsened.
  • Camilo Ugo Carabelli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Camilo Ugo Carabelli's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Timofey Skatov than the current prediction. (+13%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Timofey Skatov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (-13%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Camilo Ugo Carabelli, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Timofey Skatov - Camilo Ugo Carabelli Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.15
    (2.29)

    1.36
    (1.58)
    5%
    (7%)
    What is the prediction for Timofey Skatov - Camilo Ugo Carabelli?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Skatov (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Camilo Ugo Carabelli will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Skatov is ranked ATP: 202. Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 67.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Ugo Carabelli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Ugo Carabelli might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Skatov won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Timofey Skatov - Camilo Ugo Carabelli were as follows:
    03.08.2023 Timofey Skatov - Camilo Ugo Carabelli 1:2
    11.02.2023 Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Timofey Skatov 2:0
    Latest results of Timofey Skatov
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Darderi L. (1)Bye
    2Bellucci M.Bennani R. (WC)2 : 1
    3Bennani K. (WC)Halys Q.2 : 1
    4De Jong J.Hanfmann Y. (8)0 : 2
    5Moutet C. (3)Bye
    6Vukic A.Baadi T. (WC)1 : 2
    7Rocha H. (Q)Trungelliti M. (Q)0 : 2
    8Cerundolo J. M.Majchrzak K. (5)1 : 2
    9Kopriva V. (6)Medjedovic H.2 : 1
    10Cina F. (NG)Muller A.0 : 2
    11Jodar R.Lajovic D. (Q)2 : 0
    12ByeMachac T. (4)
    13Buse I. (7)Berrettini M.2 : 1
    14Skatov T. (Q)Ugo Carabelli C.1 : 2
    15van Assche L.Gaston H.2 : 0
    16ByeGriekspoor T. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Darderi L. (1)Bellucci M.2 : 0
    2Bennani K.Hanfmann Y. (8)1 : 2
    3Moutet C. (3)Baadi T.2 : 0
    4Trungelliti M.Majchrzak K. (5)2 : 0
    5Kopriva V. (6)Muller A.0 : 2
    6Jodar R.Machac T. (4)2 : 1
    7Buse I. (7)Ugo Carabelli C.1 : 2
    8van Assche L.Griekspoor T. (2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Darderi L. (WO.) (1)Hanfmann Y. (8)
    2Moutet C. (3)Trungelliti M.1 : 2
    3Muller A. (RET.)Jodar R.0 : 1
    4Ugo Carabelli C.van Assche L.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Darderi L. (1)Trungelliti M.0 : 2
    2Jodar R.Ugo Carabelli C.2 : 0

    Final
    1Trungelliti M.Jodar R.0 : 2