Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Yannick Hanfmann – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
25/02/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Santiago, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
45
Double Faults
71
1st serve percentage
68%59%
1st serve points won
65% (31/48)70% (26/37)
2nd serve points won
39% (9/23)58% (15/26)
Break Points Saved
57% (4/7)0% (0/1)
1st return points won
30% (11/37)35% (17/48)
2nd return points won
42% (11/26)61% (14/23)
Break Points Converted
100% (1/1)43% (3/7)
Winners
1228
Unforced errors
2431
Net points won
67% (4/6)77% (10/13)
Service Points Won
56% (40/71)65% (41/63)
Return Points Won
35% (22/63)44% (31/71)
Total Points Won
46% (62/134)54% (72/134)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
40
Service games won
67% (6/9)90% (9/10)
Return games won
10% (1/10)33% (3/9)
Total games won
37% (7/19)63% (12/19)

Chances of winning


Camilo Ugo Carabelli
40.5%
Yannick Hanfmann
59.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.3% 45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5% 47.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Camilo Ugo Carabelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Camilo Ugo Carabelli's form might have worsened.
  • Yannick Hanfmann has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Yannick Hanfmann's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Camilo Ugo Carabelli than the current prediction. (+12%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Camilo Ugo Carabelli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yannick Hanfmann than the current prediction. (-12%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yannick Hanfmann, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Yannick Hanfmann Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.33
    (1.75)

    1.6
    (2.08)
    5.5%
    (5.2%)
    What is the prediction for Camilo Ugo Carabelli - Yannick Hanfmann?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.5 Sets - Ugo Carabelli (3.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Camilo Ugo Carabelli will win (17 of 20 users predict this - 85%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 69.35%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Camilo Ugo Carabelli will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Ugo Carabelli (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Hanfmann (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Ugo Carabelli is ranked ATP: 59. Hanfmann is ranked ATP: 81.
    • Ugo Carabelli has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Hanfmann is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Ugo Carabelli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • We predict that Hanfmann will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Bye
    2Moller E.Burruchaga R. A.2 : 1
    3Passaro F. (RET.) (WC)Vallejo D. (Q)0 : 1
    4Nava E.Berrettini M. (6)2 : 0
    5Ugo Carabelli C. (4)Bye
    6Lajovic D.Hanfmann Y.0 : 2
    7Jarry N. (WC)Prizmic D. (Q)1 : 2
    8Soto M. (WC)Gaubas V. (LL)0 : 2
    9Tabilo A. (8)Barrios Vera T.2 : 0
    10Tirante T. A.Buse I.2 : 1
    11Cerundolo J. M.Garin C.1 : 2
    12ByeBaez S. (3)
    13Comesana F. (7)Martinez P.2 : 1
    14Pellegrino A. (Q)Barrena A. (Q)2 : 1
    15Navone M.Kopriva V. (RET.)1 : 1
    16ByeDarderi L. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Cerundolo F. (1)Moller E.
    2Vallejo D.Nava E.
    3Ugo Carabelli C. (4)Hanfmann Y.0 : 2
    4Prizmic D.Gaubas V.1 : 2
    5Tabilo A. (8)Tirante T. A.
    6Garin C.Baez S. (3)
    7Comesana F. (7)Pellegrino A.1 : 2
    8Navone M.Darderi L. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2Hanfmann Y.Gaubas V.
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4Pellegrino A.Darderi L. (2)

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2