Canada W vs Germany W, Olympic Games - Football Women – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Olympic Games - Football Women
Football Olympic Games - Football Women Canada W - Germany W
Result
0:1 penalties
03/08/2024 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WORLD: Olympic Games Women - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Alves Batista E. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
denmarkDenmarkDiscovery+, Eurosport 2
finlandFinlandDiscovery+, Eurosport 2
germanyGermanyEurosport 2
polandPolandEurosport 2
portugalPortugalEurosport 2
spainSpainEurosport 1
swedenSwedenEurosport 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, Eurosport 1, Eurosport 5
usaUsaNBC Universo, UNIVERSO NOW
worldWorldEurosport 5, Max

Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Goal Attempts
197
Shots on Goal
11
Shots off Goal
153
Blocked Shots
33
Free Kicks
1211
Corner Kicks
313
Offsides
02
Throw-ins
2530
Goalkeeper Saves
11
Fouls
69
Yellow Cards
03
Attacks
135123
Dangerous Attacks
6954

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Fleming J. ↓, Beckie J. ↑,
  • 57', Huitema J. ↓, Viens E. ↑,
  • 57', Carle G. ↓, Lacasse C. ↑,
  • 57', Prince N. ↓, Leon A. ↑,
  • 65', Nusken S. ↓, Lohmann S. ↑,
  • 65', Buhl K. ↓, Endemann V. ↑,
  • 79', Brand J. 🟨,
  • Extra Time (0 - 0)
  • 102', Rauch F. 🟨,
  • 102', Endemann V. ↓, Senss E. ↑,
  • 107', Gwinn G. 🟨,
  • 108', Awujo S. ↓, Grosso J. ↑,
  • 114', Schuller L. ↓, Freigang L. ↑,
  • Penalties (2 - 4)
  • 1, Gwinn G. (Pen),
  • 1, Quinn (Pen),
  • 2, Minge J. (Pen),
  • 2, Lawrence A. (Pen),
  • 3, Lohmann S. (Pen),
  • 3, Leon A. (Pen),
  • 4, Rauch F. (Pen),
  • 4, Beckie J. (Pen),
  • 5, Berger A. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Canada W
27.7%		Draw
26.2%		Germany W
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.2% 26.2% 39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3% 26.9% 40.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Canada W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Canada W's form might have worsened.
  • Germany W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Germany W's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Canada W than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Canada W, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Germany W than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Germany W, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Canada W - Germany W Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.44 ↑
    (2.71)    		 3.64 ↑
    (3.54)    		 2.04 ↓
    (2.34)    		 5.6%
    (7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

  • Watch this match and Olympic Games - Football Women with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : NBCU Paris Olympics Extra 2
    •
    What is the prediction for Canada W - Germany W?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Canada will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Germany will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Germany: 19% – 81%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Canada won 2.
    • Canada in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Germany is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Germany will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Canada won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 7-11.
    Latest results of Canada W
    31.07.2024 Colombia W - Canada W 0:1 ✺
    28.07.2024 France W - Canada W 1:2 ✺
    25.07.2024 Canada W - New Zealand W 2:1 ✺
    13.07.2024 Australia W - Canada W 1:2
    04.06.2024 Canada W - Mexico W 1:1
    Latest results of Germany W
    31.07.2024 Zambia W - Germany W 1:4 ✺
    28.07.2024 USA W - Germany W 4:1 ✺
    25.07.2024 Germany W - Australia W 3:0 ✺
    16.07.2024 Germany W - Austria W 4:0 ✺
    12.07.2024 Iceland W - Germany W 3:0 ✺
    Draw
    Qualification

    1/8-finals
    1Guinea Bissau WBenin W2 : 3, 2 : 2
    2Guinea WGhana W0 : 4, 0 : 3
    3Burkina Faso WMali W2 : 2, 0 : 1
    4ByeZambia W
    5Ivory Coast W (WO.)Sierra Leone W
    6ByeTunisia W
    7Namibia WEquatorial Guinea W0 : 0, 2 : 0
    8ByeMorocco W
    9Uganda WRwanda W1 : 0, 3 : 3
    10ByeCameroon W
    11Ethiopia WChad W4 : 0, 6 : 0
    12ByeNigeria W
    13Congo WTanzania W (WO.)
    14ByeBotswana W
    15Mozambique WD.R. Congo W (WO.)
    16ByeSouth Africa W

    Quarter-finals
    1Benin WGhana W0 : 2, 0 : 3
    2Mali WZambia W (WO.)
    3Ivory Coast WTunisia W (WO.)
    4Namibia WMorocco W0 : 2, 0 : 2
    5Uganda WCameroon W0 : 3, 2 : 0
    6Ethiopia WNigeria W0 : 4, 1 : 1
    7Tanzania WBotswana W1 : 0, 2 : 0
    8D.R. Congo WSouth Africa W0 : 2, 1 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Ghana WZambia W3 : 3, 0 : 1
    2Tunisia WMorocco W1 : 4, 1 : 2
    3Cameroon WNigeria W0 : 1, 0 : 0
    4Tanzania WSouth Africa W0 : 1, 0 : 3

    Final
    1Zambia WMorocco W2 : 0, 1 : 2
    2Nigeria WSouth Africa W0 : 0, 1 : 0
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