USA W vs Canada W, AmeriCup Basketball Women – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball AmeriCup Basketball Women USA W - Canada W
Result
65:53
05/07/2025 at 17:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AmeriCup Women - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
6574
Field Goals Made
2319
Field Goals %
35.4%25.7%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
5360
2-Point Field Goals Made
2017
2-Point Field Goals %
37.7%28.3%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
1214
3-Point Field Goals Made
32
3-Point Field Goals %
25%14.3%
Free Throws Attempted
2013
Free Throws Made
1613
Free Throws %
80%100%
Offensive Rebounds
1015
Defensive Rebounds
3029
Total Rebounds
4044
Assists
811
Blocks
106
Turnovers
1721
Steals
179
Personal Fouls
1019

Chances of winning


USA W
74.1%
Canada W
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.3% 33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.8% 33.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • USA W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in USA W's performance.
  • Canada W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Canada W might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for USA W than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with USA W that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Canada W than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Canada W could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • USA W - Canada W Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.27
    (1.4)

    3.65
    (2.75)
    6%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 145.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, USA won 4.
    • USA has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Canada is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • USA could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, USA won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 462:332. (average 77:55.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between USA W - Canada W were as follows:
    08.07.2023 Canada W - USA W 63:67
    30.09.2022 Canada W - USA W 43:83
    Latest results of USA W
    04.07.2025 USA W - Dominican Republic W 110:44
    02.07.2025 USA W - Mexico W 104:48
    30.06.2025 Puerto Rico W - USA W 62:80
    29.06.2025 USA W - Colombia W 80:43
    11.08.2024 France W - USA W 66:67
    Latest results of Canada W
    04.07.2025 Canada W - Colombia W 73:49
    30.06.2025 Brazil W - Canada W 74:65
    29.06.2025 Canada W - Argentina W 71:48
    04.08.2024 Canada W - Nigeria W 70:79
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Brazil WMexico W84 : 61
    2Puerto Rico WArgentina W51 : 53
    3USA WDominican Republic W110 : 44
    4Canada WColombia W73 : 49

    Semi-finals
    1Brazil WArgentina W108 : 68
    2USA WCanada W65 : 53

    Final
    1Brazil WUSA W84 : 92

    3rd place
    2Argentina WCanada W75 : 76