Sydney Flames vs Canberra Capitals – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
84:72
09/01/2026 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • WNBL Women - Round 13
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustralia9Now, ESPN

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
6255
Field goals made
2624
Field goals %
41.94%43.64%
2-point field goals attempts
3637
2-point field goals made
1418
2-point field goals %
38.89%48.65%
3-point field goals attempts
2618
3-point field goals made
126
3-point field goals %
46.15%33.33%
Free throws attempts
3328
Free throws made
2218
Free throws %
66.7%64.3%
Offensive rebounds
158
Defensive rebounds
2827
Total rebounds
4335
Assists
1720
Blocks
00
Turnovers
1416
Steals
411
Personal fouls
1827

Chances of winning


Sydney Flames
34.1%
Canberra Capitals
65.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.5% 44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59% 41%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sydney Flames has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sydney Flames's form might have worsened.
  • Canberra Capitals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Canberra Capitals's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sydney Flames than the current prediction. (+24.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sydney Flames, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canberra Capitals than the current prediction. (-24.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Canberra Capitals, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Sydney Flames - Canberra Capitals Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.74
    (1.66)

    1.42
    (2.08)
    6.9%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 158.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)
    What is the prediction for Sydney Flames - Canberra Capitals?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Sydney will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Canberra will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Canberra: 45%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Sydney (votes: 2 - 40%). Canberra (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 77:82.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 4.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Canberra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Canberra has had a series of home games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sydney won 12 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1393:1363. (average 69.7:68.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sydney won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 718:638. (average 79.8:70.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sydney Flames - Canberra Capitals were as follows:
    27.12.2025 Canberra Capitals - Sydney Flames 61:91
    14.11.2025 Canberra Capitals - Sydney Flames 96:56
    06.11.2025 Sydney Flames - Canberra Capitals 73:64
    08.02.2025 Canberra Capitals - Sydney Flames 71:86
    30.01.2025 Canberra Capitals - Sydney Flames 88:92
    Latest results of Sydney Flames
    Latest results of Canberra Capitals
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Townsville W (1)Southside W (4)2 : 1
    2Perth Lynx W (2)Bendigo W (3)2 : 0

    Final
    1Townsville W (1)Perth Lynx W (2)1 : 0