Canberra Nationals vs Maitland Mustangs – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball Australian NBL1 East Women Canberra Nationals - Maitland Mustangs
Result
67:74
19/07/2025 at 02:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NBL1 East Women

Chances of winning


Canberra Nationals
38.3%
Maitland Mustangs
61.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.1% 62.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9% 64.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Canberra Nationals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • Maitland Mustangs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canberra Nationals than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maitland Mustangs than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • Canberra Nationals - Maitland Mustangs Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.4
    (2.44)

    1.49
    (1.44)
    8.8%
    (10.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 149.75
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent performances by Canberra have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Maitland has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Maitland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Maitland is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Canberra will win today's game, with odds of 2.44.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Canberra won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 366:333. (average 73.2:66.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Canberra won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 230:187. (average 76.7:62.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Canberra Nationals - Maitland Mustangs were as follows:
    10.05.2025 Maitland Mustangs - Canberra Nationals 75:68
    22.06.2024 Canberra Nationals - Maitland Mustangs 81:62
    13.04.2024 Maitland Mustangs - Canberra Nationals 71:68
    18.03.2023 Canberra Nationals - Maitland Mustangs 71:59
    Latest results of Canberra Nationals
    Latest results of Maitland Mustangs
    Australian NBL1 East Women Table
    Main
    PlWLPCT
    1Manly W. W201821669:12850.900
    2Norths Bears W201731805:13600.850
    3Newcastle Falcons W201731636:13510.850
    4Albury W201551814:15840.750
    5BA CoE W201281551:13690.600
    6Bankstown Bruins W201191580:15670.550
    7Maitland Mustangs W2010101469:14740.500
    8Canberra W209111474:15380.450
    9Inner West Bulls W209111665:17590.450
    10Sutherland Sharks W208121561:16650.400
    11Sydney Comets W208121467:16220.400
    12Hills Hornets W207131553:16310.350
    13Hornsby S. W207131485:16740.350
    14Illawarra Hawks W206141431:15890.300
    15Penrith P. W205151365:15640.250
    16Central Coast W201191169:16620.050

          Promotion ~ NBL1 East Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)