Canberra Nationals vs Maitland Mustangs – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
67:74
19/07/2025 at 02:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NBL1 East Women

Chances of winning


Canberra Nationals
38.3%
Maitland Mustangs
61.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.1% 62.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9% 64.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Canberra Nationals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • Maitland Mustangs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Canberra Nationals than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maitland Mustangs than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • Canberra Nationals - Maitland Mustangs Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.4
    (2.44)

    1.49
    (1.44)
    8.8%
    (10.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 149.75
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)
    Preview Facts
    • Recent performances by Canberra have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Maitland has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Maitland may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Maitland is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Canberra will win today's game, with odds of 2.44.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Canberra won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 366:333. (average 73.2:66.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Canberra won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 230:187. (average 76.7:62.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Canberra Nationals - Maitland Mustangs were as follows:
    10.05.2025 Maitland Mustangs - Canberra Nationals 75:68
    22.06.2024 Canberra Nationals - Maitland Mustangs 81:62
    13.04.2024 Maitland Mustangs - Canberra Nationals 71:68
    18.03.2023 Canberra Nationals - Maitland Mustangs 71:59
    Latest results of Canberra Nationals
    Latest results of Maitland Mustangs
    Australian NBL1 East Women Table
    2026
    PlWLPts
    1Hornsby S. W220220:874
    2BA CoE W220201:1054
    3Norths Bears W220178:1044
    4Hills Hornets W211153:1263
    5Newcastle Falcons W211141:1303
    6Bankstown Bruins W211137:1493
    7Illawarra Hawks W211123:1743
    8Manly W. W11081:612
    9Sutherland Sharks W11078:602
    10Central Coast W20274:2252
    11Maitland Mustangs W10167:711
    12Albury W10160:741
    13Sydney Comets W10160:781
    14Canberra W10161:811
    15Inner West Bulls W10150:891
    16Penrith P. W10142:1121

          Promotion ~ NBL1 East Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)