Cancún vs Celaya – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Cancún - Celaya
Result
1:1
22/03/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MEXICO: Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 11
  • Referee: Alba Dorado J. L. (Mex)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 4
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
52%48%
Goal Attempts
1012
Shots on Goal
33
Shots off Goal
79
Corner Kicks
64
Goalkeeper Saves
22
Yellow Cards
44

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 18', Reyes R. 🟨,
  • 20', 0 - 1, Baltazar C. ,
  • 26', Diaz J. 🟨,
  • 40', Manriquez S. 🟨,
  • 45+3', de los Santos L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Reyes R. , Hernandez J. ,
  • 53', 1 - 1, Galindo B. ,
  • 61', Dominguez A. , Garcia J. ,
  • 69', Barragan M. 🟨,
  • 70', Tejeda D. , Recalde B. ,
  • 71', Perez M. 🟨,
  • 72', De Los Rios S. , Rodriguez A. ,
  • 72', Perez M. , Unjanque J. ,
  • 73', Cervantes D. 🟨,
  • 79', Marin H. , Villa O. ,
  • 79', Alonzo J. , Zaragoza A. ,
  • 82', Del Angel E. , Partida E. ,
  • 88', Unjanque J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Cancún
36.1%
Draw
28.8%
Celaya
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.4% 29% 38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5% 29.1% 38.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cancún has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • Celaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cancún than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celaya than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • Cancún - Celaya Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.57
    (2.84)
    3.23
    (3.17)
    2.65
    (2.38)
    7.6%
    (8.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Cancún won 0.
    • Recent matches Cancún is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Celaya is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Cancún won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 6:23 (average 0.5:2.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Cancún won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:8 (average 0.6:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cancún - Celaya were as follows:
    05.10.2024 Celaya - Cancún 3:1
    13.02.2024 Cancún - Celaya 1:1
    27.09.2023 Celaya - Cancún 1:0
    04.01.2023 Celaya - Cancún 2:0
    13.09.2022 Cancún - Celaya 0:4
    Latest results of Cancún
    15.03.2025 Tlaxcala - Cancún 1:1
    08.03.2025 Cancún - Dorados 1:0
    15.02.2025 Cancún - Venados 1:2
    08.02.2025 Jaiba Brava - Cancún 0:2
    Latest results of Celaya
    Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Cancun33005:059
    2Zacatecas Mineros32106:247
    3Tampico Madero32104:227
    4Irapuato32019:546
    5Tapatio22005:146
    6Leones Negros32016:426
    7Atl. Morelia21104:224
    8Dorados de Sinaloa31021:4-33
    9Tepatitlan de Morelos20201:102
    10Correcaminos30213:4-12
    11Atlante20113:4-11
    12Atletico La Paz30122:5-31
    13Tlaxcala30121:7-61
    14Alebrijes Oaxaca20021:4-30
    15Venados30032:8-60

          Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)