Result
2:2
21/03/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 11
- Referee: Montes Santos J. O. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Argentina | Disney+ |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Mexico | Disney+, ESPN |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
Peru | Disney+ |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 18 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 44', 0 - 1, Trejo C. ⚽, El-mesmari B. (A),
- 45+2', Montiel S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Preciado G. ↓, Melendre F. ↑,
- 53', 1 - 1, Vasquez Velasquez L. S. ⚽, Cruz C. (A),
- 58', Uscanga P. ↓, Ochoa I. ↑,
- 62', 2 - 1, Salazar J. ⚽,
- 62', Sanchez B. ↓, Salazar J. ↑,
- 67', Chavez A. ↓, Lopez L. ↑,
- 67', El-mesmari B. ↓, Padilla E. ↑,
- 67', Montiel S. ↓, Barraza L. ↑,
- 75', Vasquez Velasquez L. S. ↓, Doldan J. ↑,
- 75', Rangel J. ↓, Ruiz J. ↑,
- 84', Padilla E. 🟥,
- 86', Cruz C. ↓, Alvarado V. ↑,
- 86', Gamboa J. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
- 87', Elbis 🟨,
- 90+1', Doldan J. 🟨,
- 90+8', 2 - 2, Melendre F. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Irapuato 46.6% | Draw 27% | Cancún 26.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Irapuato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)Cancún has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Irapuato than the current prediction. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cancún than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Irapuato - Cancún Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.99 ↑ (1.83) |
3.42 ↑ (3.42) |
3.5 ↓ (4.01) |
8.2% (8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Irapuato - Cancún?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Cancún will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Cancún may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Irapuato is a strong favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Irapuato won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Irapuato won against Cancún?
Irapuato has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cancún won against Irapuato?
Cancún has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Irapuato - Cancún were as follows:
10.10.2025
Cancún
-
Irapuato
0:0
Latest results of Irapuato
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos ✔ | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Atl. Morelia | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 18:11 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | Cancun | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22:16 | 6 | 22 |
| 4 | Atletico La Paz | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 21:11 | 10 | 21 |
| 5 | Tapatio | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 27:21 | 6 | 20 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19:20 | -1 | 20 |
| 7 | Atlante | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 19 |
| 8 | Irapuato | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 27:24 | 3 | 19 |
| 9 | Tlaxcala | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 19 |
| 10 | Jaiba Brava | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:15 | -1 | 18 |
| 11 | Venados | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23:23 | 0 | 15 |
| 12 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17:28 | -11 | 13 |
| 13 | Correcaminos | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13:24 | -11 | 12 |
| 14 | Leones Negros | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14:27 | -13 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tepatitlan de Morelos is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)