Irapuato vs Cancún – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
21/03/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 11
  • Referee: Montes Santos J. O. (Mex)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Ball possession
55%45%
Total shots
268
Shots on target
85
Corner kicks
125
Yellow cards
21
Red cards
01
Total shots
268
Shots on target
85
Shots off target
183
Corner kicks
125

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 44', 0 - 1, Trejo C. , El-mesmari B. (A),
  • 45+2', Montiel S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Preciado G. , Melendre F. ,
  • 53', 1 - 1, Vasquez Velasquez L. S. , Cruz C. (A),
  • 58', Uscanga P. , Ochoa I. ,
  • 62', 2 - 1, Salazar J. ,
  • 62', Sanchez B. , Salazar J. ,
  • 67', Chavez A. , Lopez L. ,
  • 67', El-mesmari B. , Padilla E. ,
  • 67', Montiel S. , Barraza L. ,
  • 75', Vasquez Velasquez L. S. , Doldan J. ,
  • 75', Rangel J. , Ruiz J. ,
  • 84', Padilla E. 🟥,
  • 86', Cruz C. , Alvarado V. ,
  • 86', Gamboa J. , Gonzalez R. ,
  • 87', Elbis 🟨,
  • 90+1', Doldan J. 🟨,
  • 90+8', 2 - 2, Melendre F. ,

Chances of winning


Irapuato
46.6%
Draw
27%
Cancún
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.1% 26.9% 22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8% 25.1% 24.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Irapuato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • Cancún has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Irapuato than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cancún than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Irapuato - Cancún Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.99
    (1.83)
    3.42
    (3.42)
    3.5
    (4.01)
    8.2%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Irapuato - Cancún?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Cancún will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Cancún may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Irapuato is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Irapuato won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Irapuato - Cancún were as follows:
    10.10.2025 Cancún - Irapuato 0:0
    Latest results of Irapuato
    25.02.2026 Irapuato - Atlante 0:5
    13.02.2026 Irapuato - Dorados 5:0
    Latest results of Cancún
    14.03.2026 Cancún - Atlético La Paz 1:1
    06.03.2026 Tapatío - Cancún 1:2
    28.02.2026 Cancún - Jaiba Brava 1:2
    10.02.2026 Venados - Cancún 2:0
    Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tepatitlan de Morelos1163216:7921
    2Atletico La Paz1054118:61219
    3Atl. Morelia1061316:9719
    4Tapatio1052322:17517
    5Atlante1044215:9616
    6Cancun1043315:12315
    7Tlaxcala1043312:12015
    8Zacatecas Mineros1042413:15-214
    9Irapuato1041522:20213
    10Jaiba Brava1041510:12-213
    11Correcaminos1033410:16-612
    12Alebrijes Oaxaca1033415:23-812
    13Venados1022616:20-48
    14Leones Negros1014510:20-107
    15Dorados de Sinaloa1114612:24-127

          Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)