Result
2:1
20/09/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | AYM Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 9', Magana D. ↓, Corona N. ↑,
- 12', Flores S. 🟨,
- 31', Unjanque J. 🟨,
- 31', Unjanque J. 🟨,
- 33', Padilla E. 🟨,
- 45', Galindo B. 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 0, Pedroza M. (Pen),
- 45+11', Ochoa I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Flores S. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
- 46', Uscanga P. ↓, Chavez A. ↑,
- 46', Padilla E. ↓, Reyes R. ↑,
- 49', 2 - 0, Escoboza A. ⚽,
- 51', Corona N. 🟨,
- 52', Chavez A. 🟨,
- 53', Perez E. (Pen),
- 55', 2 - 1, Zabala L. ⚽,
- 56', Dominguez R. 🟨,
- 58', Rodriguez J. (Pen),
- 59', Garcia D. 🟨,
- 59', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
- 63', Pedroza M. ↓, Martinez F. ↑,
- 69', Rodriguez J. ↓, Trejo C. ↑,
- 73', Escoboza A. ↓, Peralta J. ↑,
- 73', Perez E. ↓, Villa R. ↑,
- 79', Ochoa I. ↓, Campos K. ↑,
- 87', Zabala L. ↓, Melendre F. ↑,
- 90+5', Garcia E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Jaiba Brava
41.6% | Draw
30.1% | Cancún
28.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jaiba Brava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Cancún has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaiba Brava than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cancún than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Jaiba Brava - Cancún Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.29 ↑
(2.09) |
3.08 ↓
(3.15) |
3.24 ↓
(3.49) |
7%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Jaiba Brava is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Cancún is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Cancún may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Jaiba Brava could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jaiba Brava won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Jaiba Brava won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Jaiba Brava won against Cancún?
Jaiba Brava has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cancún won against Jaiba Brava?
Cancún has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Jaiba Brava - Cancún were as follows:
08.02.2025
Jaiba Brava
-
Cancún
0:2
24.08.2024
Cancún
-
Jaiba Brava
0:1
Latest results of Jaiba Brava
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cancun | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17:4 | 13 | 22 |
| 2 | Tampico Madero | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 14:8 | 6 | 20 |
| 3 | Atlante | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 21:8 | 13 | 19 |
| 4 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 19:11 | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | Irapuato | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 17 |
| 6 | Leones Negros | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 12 |
| 7 | Atletico La Paz | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 19:18 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Tlaxcala | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:19 | -8 | 12 |
| 9 | Tapatio | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:12 | 1 | 11 |
| 10 | Venados | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 22:24 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Atl. Morelia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:18 | -5 | 11 |
| 12 | Zacatecas Mineros | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14:14 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11:19 | -8 | 7 |
| 14 | Correcaminos | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 14:27 | -13 | 6 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6:20 | -14 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
