Result
1:2
28/02/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 8
- Referee: Negrete Preciado J. M. (Mex)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Perez O. ⚽,
- 28', 1 - 1, Rodriguez J. ⚽,
- 32', Perez O. 🟨,
- 34', Gonzalez C. 🟨,
- 42', Preciado G. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Gonzalez C. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
- 57', Padilla E. 🟨,
- 59', Trejo C. 🟨,
- 62', Trejo C. ↓, Uscanga P. ↑,
- 63', Flores S. 🟨,
- 68', Padilla E. 🟨,
- 69', Perez O. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
- 70', Pedroza M. ↓, Martinez J. ↑,
- 70', 1 - 2, Garcia D. ⚽,
- 75', Razo L. ↓, Martinez F. ↑,
- 76', Campos K. ↓, El-mesmari B. ↑,
- 77', Preciado G. ↓, Barraza L. ↑,
- 79', Lopez L. ↓, Villatoro M. ↑,
- 79', Zabala L. ↓, Guillen D. ↑,
- 81', Villatoro M. 🟨,
- 83', Uscanga P. 🟨,
- 88', Escoboza A. ↓, Corona N. ↑,
- 90+5', Reyes R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cancún
36.2% | Draw
30.6% | Jaiba Brava
33.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cancún has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cancún's form might have worsened.Jaiba Brava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jaiba Brava's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cancún than the current prediction. (+9.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cancún, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaiba Brava than the current prediction. (-9.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jaiba Brava, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Cancún - Jaiba Brava Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.58 ↑
(2.06) |
3.05 ↑
(3.02) |
2.81 ↓
(3.92) |
7.2%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cancún - Jaiba Brava?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Jaiba Brava (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Jaiba Brava will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Jaiba Brava (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cancún won 2.
- In recent matches, Cancún has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Jaiba Brava is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Jaiba Brava may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Cancún could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Cancún won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cancún won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Cancún won against Jaiba Brava?
Cancún has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jaiba Brava won against Cancún?
Jaiba Brava has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cancún - Jaiba Brava were as follows:
20.09.2025
Jaiba Brava
-
Cancún
2:1
08.02.2025
Jaiba Brava
-
Cancún
0:2
24.08.2024
Cancún
-
Jaiba Brava
0:1
Latest results of Jaiba Brava
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos ✔ | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Atl. Morelia | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 18:11 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | Cancun | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22:16 | 6 | 22 |
| 4 | Atletico La Paz | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 21:11 | 10 | 21 |
| 5 | Tapatio | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 27:21 | 6 | 20 |
| 6 | Zacatecas Mineros | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19:20 | -1 | 20 |
| 7 | Atlante | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 19 |
| 8 | Irapuato | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 27:24 | 3 | 19 |
| 9 | Tlaxcala | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 19 |
| 10 | Jaiba Brava | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:15 | -1 | 18 |
| 11 | Venados | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23:23 | 0 | 15 |
| 12 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17:28 | -11 | 13 |
| 13 | Correcaminos | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13:24 | -11 | 12 |
| 14 | Leones Negros | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14:27 | -13 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tepatitlan de Morelos is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
